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<blockquote data-quote="Sunshinepacker" data-source="post: 618169" data-attributes="member: 9033"><p>First, NFL coaches are, for the most, conservative and coach to lose by as few points as possible, not to win. There are exceptions to this but the majority of NFL coaches don't embrace change and denigrate new ideas until they're shoved down their throats.</p><p></p><p>Second, Peter King mentioned that if more teams don't go for two with the new extra point spot, then the owners are likely to move the kick further away until more two point conversions are attempted. The new spot was only approved for one year. Quote from the article:</p><p style="margin-left: 20px"><p style="margin-left: 20px"></p> <p style="margin-left: 20px">If the new extra point doesn't motivate coaches to go for two more, look for the owners next offseason to vote to push the PAT back eight or 10 yards further so some drama is created in the touchdown conversion.</p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"></p> </p><p>That being the case, coaches better start to at least practice and emphasize the two-point conversion more because the NFL is pushing for it to become a more prevalent play. Coaches that don't embrace it are going to be left behind as the NFL makes the two-point conversion the better choice.</p><p></p><p>Finally, the math from the center of the field on a 33-yard FG pushes the 2-pt conversion ahead of the PAT by probability but by so little that I doubt many coaches actually care. According to PFF, over the last 2 years NFL teams made 97.6% of 30-35 yard FG attempts from the center hashmark. That would put the expected points at 0.976. Two point conversions are a 50/50 proposition and Football Outsiders puts the expected points at 0.99. As I said, the difference is negligible so I wouldn't expect a big change unless a team has a really good goal line offense or a really terrible kicker.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Sunshinepacker, post: 618169, member: 9033"] First, NFL coaches are, for the most, conservative and coach to lose by as few points as possible, not to win. There are exceptions to this but the majority of NFL coaches don't embrace change and denigrate new ideas until they're shoved down their throats. Second, Peter King mentioned that if more teams don't go for two with the new extra point spot, then the owners are likely to move the kick further away until more two point conversions are attempted. The new spot was only approved for one year. Quote from the article: [INDENT][INDENT] If the new extra point doesn't motivate coaches to go for two more, look for the owners next offseason to vote to push the PAT back eight or 10 yards further so some drama is created in the touchdown conversion. [/INDENT][/INDENT] That being the case, coaches better start to at least practice and emphasize the two-point conversion more because the NFL is pushing for it to become a more prevalent play. Coaches that don't embrace it are going to be left behind as the NFL makes the two-point conversion the better choice. Finally, the math from the center of the field on a 33-yard FG pushes the 2-pt conversion ahead of the PAT by probability but by so little that I doubt many coaches actually care. According to PFF, over the last 2 years NFL teams made 97.6% of 30-35 yard FG attempts from the center hashmark. That would put the expected points at 0.976. Two point conversions are a 50/50 proposition and Football Outsiders puts the expected points at 0.99. As I said, the difference is negligible so I wouldn't expect a big change unless a team has a really good goal line offense or a really terrible kicker. [/QUOTE]
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