Forums
New posts
Search forums
What's new
New posts
New media
New media comments
New resources
Latest activity
Media
New media
New comments
Search media
Resources
Latest reviews
Search resources
Members
Current visitors
Log in
Register
What's new
Search
Search
Search titles only
By:
New posts
Search forums
Menu
Log in
Register
Install the app
Install
Forums
Open Football Discussion
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Game Day Archive
Official Game Day Thread: Packers @ Falcons - 1/15: WIN 48 - 21
JavaScript is disabled. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an
alternative browser
.
Reply to thread
Message
<blockquote data-quote="DevilDon" data-source="post: 326826" data-attributes="member: 2057"><p>In case anybody doesn't know, the home team is always a 3 point favorite. When you get less it's a plus for the away team. So a visiting team who faces a 1 point underdog is actually a 2 point favorite.</p><p>Lines work like this...people bet on opening lines, say Falcons give up one point, people are betting the Packers are going to win with that extra point. On The Bet that is. Not on the game. If all bets coming in are on Packers they adjust that bet down to equal the bets.</p><p>The takers of the bets want the best middle road, they scoop all the money on the margins. So anything less than 3 point favorites for the home team makes them underdogs.</p><p>Further, this is just how betting goes, this is professionals and amateurs trying to figure out how it all goes.</p><p>Professionals might have GB as minus 5 dogs, but they are averaged out by the occasional bettor who sees a plus 1 as enough to bet on GB.</p><p>Occasional or sport bettors far outnumber the professionals so it's a bit of a crap shoot, one can't take much from lines.</p><p>Either way, it's always positive that you're favored. But dont' tell the Seahawks that, they are dogs who need to perform.</p><p>So truth be told Kitten, the bettors saw us as equal to Philly, but actually are betting in favor of the Packers at this point, however.....</p><p>This can change, keep an eye on the spread, it might change to equal betting and then you will see the opinion of the average bettor.</p><p>It will never reflect the opinion of the professional bettor.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="DevilDon, post: 326826, member: 2057"] In case anybody doesn't know, the home team is always a 3 point favorite. When you get less it's a plus for the away team. So a visiting team who faces a 1 point underdog is actually a 2 point favorite. Lines work like this...people bet on opening lines, say Falcons give up one point, people are betting the Packers are going to win with that extra point. On The Bet that is. Not on the game. If all bets coming in are on Packers they adjust that bet down to equal the bets. The takers of the bets want the best middle road, they scoop all the money on the margins. So anything less than 3 point favorites for the home team makes them underdogs. Further, this is just how betting goes, this is professionals and amateurs trying to figure out how it all goes. Professionals might have GB as minus 5 dogs, but they are averaged out by the occasional bettor who sees a plus 1 as enough to bet on GB. Occasional or sport bettors far outnumber the professionals so it's a bit of a crap shoot, one can't take much from lines. Either way, it's always positive that you're favored. But dont' tell the Seahawks that, they are dogs who need to perform. So truth be told Kitten, the bettors saw us as equal to Philly, but actually are betting in favor of the Packers at this point, however..... This can change, keep an eye on the spread, it might change to equal betting and then you will see the opinion of the average bettor. It will never reflect the opinion of the professional bettor. [/QUOTE]
Insert quotes…
Verification
Post reply
Members online
tynimiller
shockerx
Sanguine camper
ExpatPacker
Latest posts
The Jordan Love Era Begins
Latest: AmishMafia
A moment ago
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Time to call Brett back from the woodshed....
Latest: longtimefan
13 minutes ago
Brett Favre Discussion
Most hated teams outside of the division
Latest: King of Jeans
19 minutes ago
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
H
Assessing the Draft Class (2024)
Latest: Heyjoe4
25 minutes ago
Draft Talk
H
Bucks v. Pacers
Latest: Heyjoe4
34 minutes ago
Milwaukee Bucks Forum
Forums
Open Football Discussion
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Game Day Archive
Official Game Day Thread: Packers @ Falcons - 1/15: WIN 48 - 21
This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.
Accept
Learn more…
Top