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Game Day Archive
Official Game Day Thread: Packers @ Falcons - 1/15: WIN 48 - 21
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<blockquote data-quote="DevilDon" data-source="post: 326826" data-attributes="member: 2057"><p>In case anybody doesn't know, the home team is always a 3 point favorite. When you get less it's a plus for the away team. So a visiting team who faces a 1 point underdog is actually a 2 point favorite.</p><p>Lines work like this...people bet on opening lines, say Falcons give up one point, people are betting the Packers are going to win with that extra point. On The Bet that is. Not on the game. If all bets coming in are on Packers they adjust that bet down to equal the bets.</p><p>The takers of the bets want the best middle road, they scoop all the money on the margins. So anything less than 3 point favorites for the home team makes them underdogs.</p><p>Further, this is just how betting goes, this is professionals and amateurs trying to figure out how it all goes.</p><p>Professionals might have GB as minus 5 dogs, but they are averaged out by the occasional bettor who sees a plus 1 as enough to bet on GB.</p><p>Occasional or sport bettors far outnumber the professionals so it's a bit of a crap shoot, one can't take much from lines.</p><p>Either way, it's always positive that you're favored. But dont' tell the Seahawks that, they are dogs who need to perform.</p><p>So truth be told Kitten, the bettors saw us as equal to Philly, but actually are betting in favor of the Packers at this point, however.....</p><p>This can change, keep an eye on the spread, it might change to equal betting and then you will see the opinion of the average bettor.</p><p>It will never reflect the opinion of the professional bettor.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="DevilDon, post: 326826, member: 2057"] In case anybody doesn't know, the home team is always a 3 point favorite. When you get less it's a plus for the away team. So a visiting team who faces a 1 point underdog is actually a 2 point favorite. Lines work like this...people bet on opening lines, say Falcons give up one point, people are betting the Packers are going to win with that extra point. On The Bet that is. Not on the game. If all bets coming in are on Packers they adjust that bet down to equal the bets. The takers of the bets want the best middle road, they scoop all the money on the margins. So anything less than 3 point favorites for the home team makes them underdogs. Further, this is just how betting goes, this is professionals and amateurs trying to figure out how it all goes. Professionals might have GB as minus 5 dogs, but they are averaged out by the occasional bettor who sees a plus 1 as enough to bet on GB. Occasional or sport bettors far outnumber the professionals so it's a bit of a crap shoot, one can't take much from lines. Either way, it's always positive that you're favored. But dont' tell the Seahawks that, they are dogs who need to perform. So truth be told Kitten, the bettors saw us as equal to Philly, but actually are betting in favor of the Packers at this point, however..... This can change, keep an eye on the spread, it might change to equal betting and then you will see the opinion of the average bettor. It will never reflect the opinion of the professional bettor. [/QUOTE]
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Official Game Day Thread: Packers @ Falcons - 1/15: WIN 48 - 21
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