Change may not be better
Improving on Sherman could prove difficult
By TOM SILVERSTEIN
[email protected]
Posted: Dec. 26, 2005
Green Bay - If Green Bay Packers general manager Ted Thompson is thinking seriously about firing head coach Mike Sherman after the season, one of the things he'll likely consider most is whether he can find someone better to replace him.
According to the estimates of several National Football League executives, there could be more than a half-dozen vacancies due to firings and retirement after this season. Because there were just three coaching changes last off-season - four fewer than the average per year from 2001-'04 - most people expect this to be a year of heavy turnover.
One high-level NFL club official said his discussions with other officials led him to believe there could be 10 changes.
Other than Iowa coach Kirk Ferentz and possibly Southern California coach Pete Carroll, there are no blockbuster candidates in waiting, and the list of well-known NFL assistant coaches groomed for the move up appears shorter than ever. Thus, the market could be very thin for a team trying to do better than a coach who has a six-year record of 58-43 and has won three division titles.
"There will be more vacancies than qualified people," said another club official. "It's going to be a horse race."
There aren't many people who can claim they know exactly what Thompson is thinking as the Packers near the end of what could be their worst season since 1958. The Packers' first-year general manager is extremely private and still is figuring out whom he can trust inside the organization.
But several people inside and outside the organization say Thompson is well-aware that his options are limited in finding someone better than Sherman. The fact the Packers played with as much emotion and effort as they have all season in a 24-17 loss to the Chicago Bears on Sunday certainly showed Sherman has not lost this team despite a 3-12 record.
Coming off a horrendous performance against Baltimore on "Monday Night Football," in which they were blown out for the only time this season, the Packers responded with a spirited effort against the NFC North champion Bears.
Sherman has to deserve some credit for that. He said Monday that motivating his team each week has been one of his most difficult tasks this season, but it is something he has refused to lose sight of.
"When you go out that tunnel there is a belief system that you're going to give everything you have to win the game," Sherman said. "That is the coach's job and I take that part seriously.
"You can't just flip it on going out of that tunnel; you've got to be ready to go through the course of that week."
Thompson has refused to discuss his plans for Sherman with reporters and did not return a phone message Monday.
It is known among some members of the organization that Thompson still has a high opinion of quarterback Brett Favre even though Favre is in the midst of his worst season. Through 15 games, Favre has thrown a career-high 28 interceptions, and if he throws two more would become the first quarterback since Vinny Testaverde in 1988 to throw at least 30 in a season.
Only Indianapolis' Peyton Manning, during his rookie season of 1998, has thrown as many interceptions as Favre since Testaverde threw his 35 in '88.
Those who know Thompson say he is concerned about some of the desperation heaves Favre has thrown and what has prompted him to make them so often. Other teams concerned about their quarterback play have changed coordinators or added additional coaches they thought would add a fresh outlook.
Most recently, Baltimore coach Brian Billick fired offensive coordinator Matt Cavanaugh and hired former New York Giants coach Jim Fassel to help in Kyle Boller's development. He also added former college head coach Rick Neuheisel to be his quarterbacks coach.
In New York, Jets offensive coordinator Paul Hackett was replaced by Tennessee offensive coordinator Mike Heimerdinger last January to help Chad Pennington. And the Chicago Bears fired offensive coordinator Terry Shea this past off-season and hired former Illinois head coach Ron Turner.
There have been plenty of examples of teams keeping head coaches but forcing them to make sweeping changes in their assistant coaching staffs. No better one was when Seattle coach Mike Holmgren reluctantly cleaned house on defense the same year he was stripped of his general manager duties.
Three years later, the Seahawks have the best record in the NFC and are guaranteed home-field advantage in the playoffs.
Offensive coordinator Tom Rossley said no one has even hinted to him or Sherman that there would be major changes in the off-season if Sherman remains the head coach, and he said he didn't see a need for them. He said the numerous injuries the Packers have suffered this season are the biggest reason why the offense hasn't lived up to expectations.
"The last five years I think we've had the best rushing year in Packers history, some of the best scoring years, productive years offensively," Rossley said. "We've sent five people to the Pro Bowl. I'm proud of what we've done.
"Do we need help scheme-wise? No, I don't think so."
It's been widely speculated that fired Detroit coach and former Packers assistant Steve Mariucci would be an ideal candidate to inject new life into the offense, especially given his close relationship with Favre. According to a source, Mariucci spoke with a member of the organization last week, but it was on behalf of Michigan State basketball coach Tom Izzo, who wanted his team to visit the Packers facility while in town to play UW-Green Bay.
Mariucci's agent said he would not comment on whether his client had been contacted by the Packers or anyone else.
Even though Mariucci is a logical choice, there are many other options if Thompson decides he wants to shake things up. The number of coaching changes will mean a great number of assistant coaches will be available for hiring, although it would require a significant financial investment to recruit the best ones.
Since arriving in Green Bay, Sherman and his offensive staff have led the team to offensive rankings of 15th, sixth, 12th, fourth and third before falling to 18th with one week to go in this season. But their handling of Favre also will be considered.
"To bring someone in from another organization who's not done more than we have done. . . ," Rossley said. "If somebody has done more than we have and better than we have, you can understand that. But to bring someone in who hasn't performed to the level that we have, then it doesn't make a lot of sense."