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NFL proposal to eliminate kickoffs being considered
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<blockquote data-quote="TJV" data-source="post: 476703" data-attributes="member: 4300"><p><span style="color: #141414"><span style="font-family: 'Tahoma'">Actually IMO it would increase the value of returners as long as they excel at returning punts because of the number of KOs that currently aren’t being returned. </span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #141414"><span style="font-family: 'Tahoma'">If after scoring a team punts from its 30 yard line, on average the other team will have the ball at about its 30. According to ESPN’s stats the Packers are at the median (16th) in net punting average at 41.5 yards, so opponents would on average start on their 28.5 yard line against the Packers. (The average on "KO punts" would probably change because of the lack of touchbacks.) Anyway, my guess is more “KO punts” would be returned than current KOs. </span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #141414"><span style="font-family: 'Tahoma'">According to the ESPN article linked below, in the four seasons before 2011, about 80% of KOs were returned. After moving KOs up in 2011, that number was reduced to 53.4%. (BTW, KOs returned for TDs went from 23 in 2010 to 9 in 2011.) The average starting field position after KOs in the four years previous to 2011 was about the 27 yard line. In 2011 it was 22.1. How does a league which values offense but wants to reduce KO related injuries “fix” this problem while allowing an opportunity for teams to gamble ala onsides KOs? By having teams punt the vast majority of the time and returning average starting position to closer to the 30 yard line. But still allowing a 4th and 15 gamble. </span></span></p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'Tahoma'"><a href="http://espn.go.com/blog/statsinfo/post/_/id/35597/kickoff-rule-change-has-big-effect-on-nfl" target="_blank">http://espn.go.com/blog/statsinfo/post/_/id/35597/kickoff-rule-change-has-big-effect-on-nfl</a></span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'Tahoma'">Which NFL player would be most affected? My guess is a kicker whose strong leg is an asset on KOs but whose accuracy, particularly on long FGs, isn't very good. Any player in particular leap to mind? </span></span></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="TJV, post: 476703, member: 4300"] [COLOR=#141414][FONT=Tahoma]Actually IMO it would increase the value of returners as long as they excel at returning punts because of the number of KOs that currently aren’t being returned. [/FONT][/COLOR] [COLOR=#141414][FONT=Tahoma]If after scoring a team punts from its 30 yard line, on average the other team will have the ball at about its 30. According to ESPN’s stats the Packers are at the median (16th) in net punting average at 41.5 yards, so opponents would on average start on their 28.5 yard line against the Packers. (The average on "KO punts" would probably change because of the lack of touchbacks.) Anyway, my guess is more “KO punts” would be returned than current KOs. [/FONT][/COLOR] [COLOR=#141414][FONT=Tahoma]According to the ESPN article linked below, in the four seasons before 2011, about 80% of KOs were returned. After moving KOs up in 2011, that number was reduced to 53.4%. (BTW, KOs returned for TDs went from 23 in 2010 to 9 in 2011.) The average starting field position after KOs in the four years previous to 2011 was about the 27 yard line. In 2011 it was 22.1. How does a league which values offense but wants to reduce KO related injuries “fix” this problem while allowing an opportunity for teams to gamble ala onsides KOs? By having teams punt the vast majority of the time and returning average starting position to closer to the 30 yard line. But still allowing a 4th and 15 gamble. [/FONT][/COLOR] [COLOR=#000000][FONT=Tahoma][url]http://espn.go.com/blog/statsinfo/post/_/id/35597/kickoff-rule-change-has-big-effect-on-nfl[/url][/FONT][/COLOR] [COLOR=#000000][FONT=Tahoma]Which NFL player would be most affected? My guess is a kicker whose strong leg is an asset on KOs but whose accuracy, particularly on long FGs, isn't very good. Any player in particular leap to mind? [/FONT][/COLOR] [/QUOTE]
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NFL proposal to eliminate kickoffs being considered
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