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<blockquote data-quote="Magooch" data-source="post: 1080491" data-attributes="member: 17987"><p>The Bears are sitting in first currently, and of course an 8-3 record but they are doing this in spite of currently having a -3 point differential (289 for, 292 against). That seems like the kind of thing where the universe will eventually set things right <img src="/styles/default/xenforo/smilies/tongue.png" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":p" title="Stick Out Tongue :p" data-shortname=":p" /> </p><p></p><p>Our defense is an interesting one. In terms of the raw numbers it's very good.</p><p>- 5th in points against with just 202 (Rams - 179, Texans - 182, Broncos - 192, Chiefs - 201)</p><p>- 4th in yards allowed at 3,066 (Texans - 2,907, Browns - 3,003, Broncos - 3,018)</p><p>- 2nd (tie) in yards per play allowed (Broncos - 4.4, Seahawks/Packers/Texans - 4.6)</p><p>- 7th in first downs allowed, 5th in passing yards allowed, 4th in net yards allowed per attempt, 6th in rush yards allowed, 7th in yards per rush attempt</p><p></p><p>Interestingly though the analytics or "advanced stats" seem to view us a bit more critically.</p><p>- 13th in total EPA/play</p><p>- 10th in "success rate" (plays allowed with a positive EPA against)</p><p>- 16th in dropback EPA</p><p>- 13th in rush EPA</p><p></p><p>The Broncos are actually a really interesting comp. We are almost identical in terms of yards allowed (GB 3066, DEN 3018), pass yards allowed (GB 2005, DEN 2044) net yards allowed per attempt (GB 5.1, DEN 4.9), rush yards allowed (GB 1061, DEN 974) yards per rush allowed (GB 3.9, DEN 3.6), rush TD allowed (8 each) and we have actually generated more turnovers than they have (11 vs 9). The only noticeable discrepancy is that we have given up 4 more pass TDs and have about a 5% worse scoring percentage allowed (Opponents score on ~38% of drives against us and 33% of drives against Denver). Somehow this has translated though to a nearly 40 points gap in expected points contribution, so that is kind of odd. </p><p></p><p>Still I expect we certainly have the quality to win any and all of those four</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Magooch, post: 1080491, member: 17987"] The Bears are sitting in first currently, and of course an 8-3 record but they are doing this in spite of currently having a -3 point differential (289 for, 292 against). That seems like the kind of thing where the universe will eventually set things right :P Our defense is an interesting one. In terms of the raw numbers it's very good. - 5th in points against with just 202 (Rams - 179, Texans - 182, Broncos - 192, Chiefs - 201) - 4th in yards allowed at 3,066 (Texans - 2,907, Browns - 3,003, Broncos - 3,018) - 2nd (tie) in yards per play allowed (Broncos - 4.4, Seahawks/Packers/Texans - 4.6) - 7th in first downs allowed, 5th in passing yards allowed, 4th in net yards allowed per attempt, 6th in rush yards allowed, 7th in yards per rush attempt Interestingly though the analytics or "advanced stats" seem to view us a bit more critically. - 13th in total EPA/play - 10th in "success rate" (plays allowed with a positive EPA against) - 16th in dropback EPA - 13th in rush EPA The Broncos are actually a really interesting comp. We are almost identical in terms of yards allowed (GB 3066, DEN 3018), pass yards allowed (GB 2005, DEN 2044) net yards allowed per attempt (GB 5.1, DEN 4.9), rush yards allowed (GB 1061, DEN 974) yards per rush allowed (GB 3.9, DEN 3.6), rush TD allowed (8 each) and we have actually generated more turnovers than they have (11 vs 9). The only noticeable discrepancy is that we have given up 4 more pass TDs and have about a 5% worse scoring percentage allowed (Opponents score on ~38% of drives against us and 33% of drives against Denver). Somehow this has translated though to a nearly 40 points gap in expected points contribution, so that is kind of odd. Still I expect we certainly have the quality to win any and all of those four [/QUOTE]
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