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<blockquote data-quote="Thirteen Below" data-source="post: 1076672" data-attributes="member: 18006"><p>I think one possibility might be to play Hobbs in the slot on running downs, and Bullard on passing downs.</p><p></p><p>Clearly, the Packers really <em>really </em>want to bring Javon along and work him into a fulltime safety, and this might be the best way to do it - and a way that is most advantageous to the team. It's not that Bullard is really that bad on running downs, but he's not great at it either - average at best, for the most part.</p><p></p><p>However, he <em>excels </em>on coverage - and... well... Hobbs doesn't. For safeties, Bullard is #11 in the NFL so far this season in yards allowed per target (4.9), and <strong><em>#1</em></strong> in yards allowed per reception (5.9). In advanced metrics, his coverage rating is +2.8 (94th percentile), and he is targeted on roughly 15% of his snaps (can't recall exactly, and too tired to look it up; but... a little over 15%... sorry).</p><p></p><p>So he's seeing a hell of a lot of footballs (on 1 out of every 7 snaps, the ball is coming to him), and doing one hell of a job playing his part. I won't break down the exact numbers, because I really feel self-conscious about my long posts, but I'll just say that Nate's metrics on passing downs is very, <em>very</em> different. On passing downs, Bullard is one of the best safeties in the league, and Hobbs is clearly below average.</p><p></p><p>On passing downs, Javon needs to be in the slot, and Hobbs needs to NOT be. In the last 3 games that Hobbs started (against Dallas, Cincinnati, and Arizona), he has given up an average of 63 passing yards per game - very close to 25% of all passing yards that Green Bay has given up. </p><p></p><p>Clearly, the Packers see Bullard as the future in the slot, and the numbers I've dug up certainly seem to validate that plan. I think that ideally, they believe (or at least hope) that he'll be The Guy by 2026, and they can then do whatever with Hobbs - and better afford it next year than this year.</p><p></p><p>But I also think they're disillusioned with Hobbs' play at outside cornerback, and are largely playing him there partly because they figure they need to get <em>some </em>value for the money they've invested in him, and partly because they're hoping he'll eventually become a better perimeter defender (which I think is quite unlikely - he is what he is).</p><p></p><p>But one thing I think is clear is that the Packers finally understand what a lot of us saw 6 months ago - the signing of Hobbs was a foolish, extravagant, and frankly reckless decision. That was a lot of money that could be much better spent elsewhere right now.</p><p></p><p></p><p>That's fair enough, but I'm sure we can all agree that we're not getting from Hobbs anywhere near what we paid for. We've spent half a season trying to square-peg him into a round hole, and it's been an expensive failure.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Thirteen Below, post: 1076672, member: 18006"] I think one possibility might be to play Hobbs in the slot on running downs, and Bullard on passing downs. Clearly, the Packers really [I]really [/I]want to bring Javon along and work him into a fulltime safety, and this might be the best way to do it - and a way that is most advantageous to the team. It's not that Bullard is really that bad on running downs, but he's not great at it either - average at best, for the most part. However, he [I]excels [/I]on coverage - and... well... Hobbs doesn't. For safeties, Bullard is #11 in the NFL so far this season in yards allowed per target (4.9), and [B][I]#1[/I][/B] in yards allowed per reception (5.9). In advanced metrics, his coverage rating is +2.8 (94th percentile), and he is targeted on roughly 15% of his snaps (can't recall exactly, and too tired to look it up; but... a little over 15%... sorry). So he's seeing a hell of a lot of footballs (on 1 out of every 7 snaps, the ball is coming to him), and doing one hell of a job playing his part. I won't break down the exact numbers, because I really feel self-conscious about my long posts, but I'll just say that Nate's metrics on passing downs is very, [I]very[/I] different. On passing downs, Bullard is one of the best safeties in the league, and Hobbs is clearly below average. On passing downs, Javon needs to be in the slot, and Hobbs needs to NOT be. In the last 3 games that Hobbs started (against Dallas, Cincinnati, and Arizona), he has given up an average of 63 passing yards per game - very close to 25% of all passing yards that Green Bay has given up. Clearly, the Packers see Bullard as the future in the slot, and the numbers I've dug up certainly seem to validate that plan. I think that ideally, they believe (or at least hope) that he'll be The Guy by 2026, and they can then do whatever with Hobbs - and better afford it next year than this year. But I also think they're disillusioned with Hobbs' play at outside cornerback, and are largely playing him there partly because they figure they need to get [I]some [/I]value for the money they've invested in him, and partly because they're hoping he'll eventually become a better perimeter defender (which I think is quite unlikely - he is what he is). But one thing I think is clear is that the Packers finally understand what a lot of us saw 6 months ago - the signing of Hobbs was a foolish, extravagant, and frankly reckless decision. That was a lot of money that could be much better spent elsewhere right now. That's fair enough, but I'm sure we can all agree that we're not getting from Hobbs anywhere near what we paid for. We've spent half a season trying to square-peg him into a round hole, and it's been an expensive failure. [/QUOTE]
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