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McGinn on impact of this year's picks
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 555015"><p>In answer to the OP questions raised, I think McGinn's opinions and rankings are relatively clear.</p><p></p><p>A guy with "game changing impact" I take to mean a guy who is a play-maker, an eventual Pro Bowl-caliber player, a guy opponents game plan for, one of the 3 or so guys on either side of the ball you'd consider the core players around whom everything else is built.</p><p></p><p>In contrast, a guy who is expected to merely "really contribute" longer term, such as HCD, would in McGinn's words, be a guy one would expect to be "a solid starter on a Super Bowl team".</p><p></p><p>Though he does not explain it, I interpret his "really contribute" as a rookie to be a lower bar than "really contribute" longer term...judging from the text it does not appear that he implied, for example, that Adams has an 80% chance or Thornton having a 50% chance of being a "solid starter" as a rookie. The rookie number I would take to indicate the guy's potential as a solid rotational player who gets a meaningful number of snaps in his first year.</p><p></p><p>I can't say I disagree with McGinn by and large. HDC and Adams should be a solid starter-caliber players by year 2; if HDC puts up a solid, relatively mistake-free rookie year that would be a plus.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 555015"] In answer to the OP questions raised, I think McGinn's opinions and rankings are relatively clear. A guy with "game changing impact" I take to mean a guy who is a play-maker, an eventual Pro Bowl-caliber player, a guy opponents game plan for, one of the 3 or so guys on either side of the ball you'd consider the core players around whom everything else is built. In contrast, a guy who is expected to merely "really contribute" longer term, such as HCD, would in McGinn's words, be a guy one would expect to be "a solid starter on a Super Bowl team". Though he does not explain it, I interpret his "really contribute" as a rookie to be a lower bar than "really contribute" longer term...judging from the text it does not appear that he implied, for example, that Adams has an 80% chance or Thornton having a 50% chance of being a "solid starter" as a rookie. The rookie number I would take to indicate the guy's potential as a solid rotational player who gets a meaningful number of snaps in his first year. I can't say I disagree with McGinn by and large. HDC and Adams should be a solid starter-caliber players by year 2; if HDC puts up a solid, relatively mistake-free rookie year that would be a plus. [/QUOTE]
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