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McCarthy's peculiar game plans
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<blockquote data-quote="Sunshinepacker" data-source="post: 802082" data-attributes="member: 9033"><p>The reason I mentioned Gurley as only perhaps being a great RB is because when you actually look at some of the RB only stats, he's not nearly as high as most people would assume; a fact that is probably attributable to an amazing oline and great playcalling. The Athletic article (linked below) has some interesting information on Gurley (plus, thanks to a 3-day free-trial, there are also some PFF Elite stats here)</p><p></p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Gurley runs against 6-man fronts more often than any other RB in the NFL</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Combine the above with the best run-blocking oline in the NFL and lots of RBs would be good there</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">After some regression based on RBs with 50+touches and how many tackles they've broken, you can create a rough "expected broken tackles" metric; guys like Gordon, Hunt, and Barkley are breaking more tackles than expected, Gurley has actually broken 1 fewer tackle than an average RB given his number of touches (I hesitate to bring this up because it gives the "no-math" crowd and excuse to ignore everything but it IS interesting that he hasn't really broken as many tackles as you'd expect)</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Gurley ranks 21st in the NFL in yards after contact</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">The article has some great video showing this, but play design has been a major factor in his success; while Gurley might be a good receiver, his stats this year aren't really based on that because almost 90% of his receptions have occured within 5 yards of the LoS</li> </ul><p>This whole post wasn't meant to say that Gurley is awful, he's obviously a very good RB; i just think he might not be the certified top-5 RB that most seem to believe he is. The only real advantage he has over Aaron Jones, and it's a big one, would seem to be that Gurley is about 15lbs heavier than Jones.</p><p></p><p><a href="https://theathletic.com/658830/2018/11/20/inside-the-numbers-chris-carson-nfc-best-running-back/" target="_blank">https://theathletic.com/658830/2018/11/20/inside-the-numbers-chris-carson-nfc-best-running-back/</a></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Sunshinepacker, post: 802082, member: 9033"] The reason I mentioned Gurley as only perhaps being a great RB is because when you actually look at some of the RB only stats, he's not nearly as high as most people would assume; a fact that is probably attributable to an amazing oline and great playcalling. The Athletic article (linked below) has some interesting information on Gurley (plus, thanks to a 3-day free-trial, there are also some PFF Elite stats here) [LIST] [*]Gurley runs against 6-man fronts more often than any other RB in the NFL [*]Combine the above with the best run-blocking oline in the NFL and lots of RBs would be good there [*]After some regression based on RBs with 50+touches and how many tackles they've broken, you can create a rough "expected broken tackles" metric; guys like Gordon, Hunt, and Barkley are breaking more tackles than expected, Gurley has actually broken 1 fewer tackle than an average RB given his number of touches (I hesitate to bring this up because it gives the "no-math" crowd and excuse to ignore everything but it IS interesting that he hasn't really broken as many tackles as you'd expect) [*]Gurley ranks 21st in the NFL in yards after contact [*]The article has some great video showing this, but play design has been a major factor in his success; while Gurley might be a good receiver, his stats this year aren't really based on that because almost 90% of his receptions have occured within 5 yards of the LoS [/LIST] This whole post wasn't meant to say that Gurley is awful, he's obviously a very good RB; i just think he might not be the certified top-5 RB that most seem to believe he is. The only real advantage he has over Aaron Jones, and it's a big one, would seem to be that Gurley is about 15lbs heavier than Jones. [URL]https://theathletic.com/658830/2018/11/20/inside-the-numbers-chris-carson-nfc-best-running-back/[/URL] [/QUOTE]
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