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Last 2 Packer SB teams vs each other
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<blockquote data-quote="Jasonfan" data-source="post: 369202" data-attributes="member: 4647"><p>Upsets happen all of the time during both the regular season and playoffs. Heck GB lost to Washington, Miami, and Det this year and GB is far superior to all 3 and none of the 3 is a particularly terrible matchup problem for GB.</p><p> </p><p>Luck and randomness also play large roles. GB definitely deserved to win the SB but even that game changes with a couple bounces the other way. For example, Pitt missed a FG, GB recovered the Muffed Punt, and GB recovered the Mendenhall fumble. If instead the ball bounces to Pitt instead of Tramon and Bishop who knows how it ends (causing fumbles is a skill but it is random chance which team the ball bounces towards)</p><p> </p><p> </p><p>I'd say the Best team in the NFL maybe wins the SB 25% of the time or so. Winning 3 games in a row for any team vs playoff competition is a challenge. </p><p> </p><p>For example, let's say that a team has an 80% chance of winning each play off game (unlikely a team would be so far superior to al lof its opponents but we'll assume this team is that dominant). Even this 80% team would only win the Super Bowl 51% of the time (.80x.80x.80)</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Jasonfan, post: 369202, member: 4647"] Upsets happen all of the time during both the regular season and playoffs. Heck GB lost to Washington, Miami, and Det this year and GB is far superior to all 3 and none of the 3 is a particularly terrible matchup problem for GB. Luck and randomness also play large roles. GB definitely deserved to win the SB but even that game changes with a couple bounces the other way. For example, Pitt missed a FG, GB recovered the Muffed Punt, and GB recovered the Mendenhall fumble. If instead the ball bounces to Pitt instead of Tramon and Bishop who knows how it ends (causing fumbles is a skill but it is random chance which team the ball bounces towards) I'd say the Best team in the NFL maybe wins the SB 25% of the time or so. Winning 3 games in a row for any team vs playoff competition is a challenge. For example, let's say that a team has an 80% chance of winning each play off game (unlikely a team would be so far superior to al lof its opponents but we'll assume this team is that dominant). Even this 80% team would only win the Super Bowl 51% of the time (.80x.80x.80) [/QUOTE]
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