Forums
New posts
Search forums
What's new
New posts
New media
New media comments
New resources
Latest activity
Media
New media
New comments
Search media
Resources
Latest reviews
Search resources
Members
Current visitors
Log in
Register
What's new
Search
Search
Search titles only
By:
New posts
Search forums
Menu
Log in
Register
Install the app
Install
Forums
Open Football Discussion
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Keep Pettine if the D doesn't improve?
JavaScript is disabled. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an
alternative browser
.
Reply to thread
Message
<blockquote data-quote="jon" data-source="post: 878367" data-attributes="member: 15113"><p>Thanks for the good depth.</p><p></p><p>Is this not bias, though? If sacks and kneel downs affect GB's numbers then they affect every team's numbers. So this is an error (or, at least, a push) that is present in every data record so ultimately not meaningful (or, at least, not enough to annul the finding). That is, we think the pack at 58/42 is normal next to the league's 57/43. If, correcting for bias, it is actually more like 65/35 for GB and ~64/36 for the NFL, then GB is still right in the middle. If we assume NFL playcallers know what they're doing, then MLF's run/pass play selection is fine. </p><p></p><p>And then there's standard deviation, a measure of how far off of average you can go and still be considered "about average". I'm not going to nerd wrestle these numbers, but in this data set, with a range of 42.5 to 65.4% in pass plays, I'd guess the standard deviation would describe a range most on this board would consider a very significant difference in play calling. So if MLF shifted to, say, 53/47 (uncorrected) most fans and commentators would talk about a huge shift that really isn't huge at all-- statistically. It would be huge, in my view, if by "pass" you mean Aaron Rodgers and you decide to do less of him and expect to win.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="jon, post: 878367, member: 15113"] Thanks for the good depth. Is this not bias, though? If sacks and kneel downs affect GB's numbers then they affect every team's numbers. So this is an error (or, at least, a push) that is present in every data record so ultimately not meaningful (or, at least, not enough to annul the finding). That is, we think the pack at 58/42 is normal next to the league's 57/43. If, correcting for bias, it is actually more like 65/35 for GB and ~64/36 for the NFL, then GB is still right in the middle. If we assume NFL playcallers know what they're doing, then MLF's run/pass play selection is fine. And then there's standard deviation, a measure of how far off of average you can go and still be considered "about average". I'm not going to nerd wrestle these numbers, but in this data set, with a range of 42.5 to 65.4% in pass plays, I'd guess the standard deviation would describe a range most on this board would consider a very significant difference in play calling. So if MLF shifted to, say, 53/47 (uncorrected) most fans and commentators would talk about a huge shift that really isn't huge at all-- statistically. It would be huge, in my view, if by "pass" you mean Aaron Rodgers and you decide to do less of him and expect to win. [/QUOTE]
Insert quotes…
Verification
Post reply
Members online
No members online now.
Latest posts
Prior to Training Camp - Predicting the 53 Man Roster
Latest: GreenBaySlacker
Yesterday at 11:32 PM
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Josh Jacobs facing charges…
Latest: OldSchool101
Yesterday at 9:27 PM
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Why I Love The 2026-2027 Green Bay Packers
Latest: OldSchool101
Yesterday at 8:45 PM
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
2026 WR room
Latest: OldSchool101
Yesterday at 6:56 PM
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
The Crew - 2026
Latest: weeds
Yesterday at 6:47 PM
Milwaukee Brewers Forum
Forums
Open Football Discussion
Green Bay Packers Fan Forum
Keep Pettine if the D doesn't improve?
This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.
Accept
Learn more…
Top