Beyond those facts, two other things came to mind recently...
- by all accounts the league is pressing hard to get a copy of the video. I think back to Deflategate, for instance...while the Wells report did find it "more likely than not" that Brady was aware of the scheme to deflate balls, much of the league's punishment didn't hinge on that BUT rather on Brady's lack of cooperation (he got rid of documentation/had his phone destroyed/etc). In other words, cooperating with the league - or being seen as cooperative - can have a big impact on a potential league suspension and/or time spent on Commissioner's list. If Jacobs' camp is seen as unwilling to cooperate with the league's investigation I would expect the league will take a stance that says at minimum they'll have to give him the "Baseline" 6 games for DV cases.
- in the case of Ray Rice, for example....Rice had ALL charges dropped following completion of court-mandated counseling/supervision. In Jacobs' case, his battery charge will NOT be dropped or removed from his record. While Rice's case may have looked worse (and may well have BEEN worse) based on the video of it versus the non-video (or description of video) from Jacobs' case, technically speaking Jacobs has the "worse" legal record of the two
- ANM's request to have video sealed also may present an interesting wrinkle here. IF that request is broadly granted, then even if the league is requesting the footage, in theory Jacobs would no longer be able to provide this evidence (Some of the more conspiracy-minded amongst us would consider this to be a feature, not a bug, and would perhaps suggest that Jacobs would be incentivized to pay ANM to put in this request for this very reason). On the other hand, the judge may also grant a more specific sealing order, for instance to say that it cannot be publicly released, in such a way that it might still allow limited access to a league investigation.
Anyways, on we go...
- by all accounts the league is pressing hard to get a copy of the video. I think back to Deflategate, for instance...while the Wells report did find it "more likely than not" that Brady was aware of the scheme to deflate balls, much of the league's punishment didn't hinge on that BUT rather on Brady's lack of cooperation (he got rid of documentation/had his phone destroyed/etc). In other words, cooperating with the league - or being seen as cooperative - can have a big impact on a potential league suspension and/or time spent on Commissioner's list. If Jacobs' camp is seen as unwilling to cooperate with the league's investigation I would expect the league will take a stance that says at minimum they'll have to give him the "Baseline" 6 games for DV cases.
- in the case of Ray Rice, for example....Rice had ALL charges dropped following completion of court-mandated counseling/supervision. In Jacobs' case, his battery charge will NOT be dropped or removed from his record. While Rice's case may have looked worse (and may well have BEEN worse) based on the video of it versus the non-video (or description of video) from Jacobs' case, technically speaking Jacobs has the "worse" legal record of the two
- ANM's request to have video sealed also may present an interesting wrinkle here. IF that request is broadly granted, then even if the league is requesting the footage, in theory Jacobs would no longer be able to provide this evidence (Some of the more conspiracy-minded amongst us would consider this to be a feature, not a bug, and would perhaps suggest that Jacobs would be incentivized to pay ANM to put in this request for this very reason). On the other hand, the judge may also grant a more specific sealing order, for instance to say that it cannot be publicly released, in such a way that it might still allow limited access to a league investigation.
Anyways, on we go...

DAL @ GB