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<blockquote data-quote="OldSchool101" data-source="post: 1002940" data-attributes="member: 10086"><p>If my Math is correct, Rodgers needs to start in 11.5 contests for us to garner a Jets Day1 selection. Obviously injuries happen but statistically our odds are pretty good to get a Day1. Imo around 75%. The chances of the Jets in that 1 Win scenario are less than 10% imo.</p><p>My best guess (factoring in both injury or poor performance) on the over/under as far pick our draft inheritance is #27-28 overall and slightly better if Rodgers eclipses that Bogey snaps %</p><p>A #13 overall would be my ceiling and #43 overall would be my floor picks. On a betting line I’ll go closer to the Jets winning a 5-6th seed and beating the wildcard opponent. They’ll get knocked out in the AFC Divisional or AFC Championship game. Even that is exciting for a NU fan base that has had a serious Postseason drought</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="OldSchool101, post: 1002940, member: 10086"] If my Math is correct, Rodgers needs to start in 11.5 contests for us to garner a Jets Day1 selection. Obviously injuries happen but statistically our odds are pretty good to get a Day1. Imo around 75%. The chances of the Jets in that 1 Win scenario are less than 10% imo. My best guess (factoring in both injury or poor performance) on the over/under as far pick our draft inheritance is #27-28 overall and slightly better if Rodgers eclipses that Bogey snaps % A #13 overall would be my ceiling and #43 overall would be my floor picks. On a betting line I’ll go closer to the Jets winning a 5-6th seed and beating the wildcard opponent. They’ll get knocked out in the AFC Divisional or AFC Championship game. Even that is exciting for a NU fan base that has had a serious Postseason drought [/QUOTE]
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