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I need a true stat geek for this.
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<blockquote data-quote="Mklangelo" data-source="post: 593732" data-attributes="member: 10228"><p>I've heard some talk that the Hawks have not faced very good Defensive lines in the final quarter of the season and the Packers have.</p><p></p><p>Well I went over to Football Outsiders and did some digging.</p><p></p><p>Here is what I found: The average Adjusted Line Yards for the Packers and Seahawks last 4 regular season opponents are: Packers: 3.75 ypc Seahawks: 3.67 ypc. In my mind that is a statistically insignificant difference. </p><p></p><p>Adjusted Line Yards as defined by Football Outsiders: </p><p></p><p>"Teams are ranked according to <strong>Adjusted Line Yards</strong>. Based on regression analysis, the Adjusted Line Yards formula takes all running back carries and assigns responsibility to the offensive line based on the following percentages:</p><p></p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Losses: 120% value</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0-4 Yards: 100% value</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">5-10 Yards: 50% value</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">11+ Yards: 0% value</li> </ul><p>These numbers are then adjusted based on down, distance, situation, opponent, and the difference in rushing average between shotgun compared to standard formations. Finally, we normalize the numbers so that the league average for Adjusted Line Yards per carry is the same as the league average for RB yards per carry. Defensive line stats (more accurately, defensive front seven stats) represent the performance of offensive lines against each defense, adjusted for the quality of offensive opponents."</p><p></p><p>So my question is where does this perception come from and if I'm missing info that makes it true, I'd love to see it. </p><p></p><p>GPG</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Mklangelo, post: 593732, member: 10228"] I've heard some talk that the Hawks have not faced very good Defensive lines in the final quarter of the season and the Packers have. Well I went over to Football Outsiders and did some digging. Here is what I found: The average Adjusted Line Yards for the Packers and Seahawks last 4 regular season opponents are: Packers: 3.75 ypc Seahawks: 3.67 ypc. In my mind that is a statistically insignificant difference. Adjusted Line Yards as defined by Football Outsiders: "Teams are ranked according to [B]Adjusted Line Yards[/B]. Based on regression analysis, the Adjusted Line Yards formula takes all running back carries and assigns responsibility to the offensive line based on the following percentages: [LIST] [*]Losses: 120% value [*]0-4 Yards: 100% value [*]5-10 Yards: 50% value [*]11+ Yards: 0% value [/LIST] These numbers are then adjusted based on down, distance, situation, opponent, and the difference in rushing average between shotgun compared to standard formations. Finally, we normalize the numbers so that the league average for Adjusted Line Yards per carry is the same as the league average for RB yards per carry. Defensive line stats (more accurately, defensive front seven stats) represent the performance of offensive lines against each defense, adjusted for the quality of offensive opponents." So my question is where does this perception come from and if I'm missing info that makes it true, I'd love to see it. GPG [/QUOTE]
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