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Football gonna become unwatchable
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 517439"><p>Brady is struggling for one particular reason...they've been consistently drafting at the bottom of the first round for over a decade. The difference between being the #1 picker vs. #32 virtually equates to the #1 pick in the draft vs. a bottom of the 7th. round pick. If a team happens to be #31 or #26, adjust accordingly. The affects are gradual and cumulative. The Packers suffer from the same issue to a somewhat lesser degree.</p><p></p><p>There's a significant gap between top 10 picks and the bottom 10 in the first round...the odds are much higher, though not certain, you'll find a play-making every-down Pro Bowl-caliber player who's ready for prime time by his second season when picking high in the first round. The affects have shown up in NE's defense. The Packers are much in the same boat.</p><p></p><p>TT and Belichick try to compensate by accumulating picks, which increases the odds of finding overachievers and developmental players with upside in lower rounds. They've both had success by-in-large with this approach. Belichick goes in more for risky guys. Gronk dropped hard in the first round for off-field issues...that worked out great. Ras-I Dowling (who?) was a risky high second rounder with injury and off-field question marks...that one failed. TT sticks to guys with good athletic/Combine attributes where there are fit-and-finish question marks...Perry converting to hand-up, Jones too small? </p><p></p><p>The key to winning is having a good QB, a half-dozen or so playmakers, and a decent supporting cast that allows them to make their plays. That gets harder when you never get a high pick. Low first round picks come with issues, and not just off-the-field or injury question marks. They're frequently not ready-made NFL players.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 517439"] Brady is struggling for one particular reason...they've been consistently drafting at the bottom of the first round for over a decade. The difference between being the #1 picker vs. #32 virtually equates to the #1 pick in the draft vs. a bottom of the 7th. round pick. If a team happens to be #31 or #26, adjust accordingly. The affects are gradual and cumulative. The Packers suffer from the same issue to a somewhat lesser degree. There's a significant gap between top 10 picks and the bottom 10 in the first round...the odds are much higher, though not certain, you'll find a play-making every-down Pro Bowl-caliber player who's ready for prime time by his second season when picking high in the first round. The affects have shown up in NE's defense. The Packers are much in the same boat. TT and Belichick try to compensate by accumulating picks, which increases the odds of finding overachievers and developmental players with upside in lower rounds. They've both had success by-in-large with this approach. Belichick goes in more for risky guys. Gronk dropped hard in the first round for off-field issues...that worked out great. Ras-I Dowling (who?) was a risky high second rounder with injury and off-field question marks...that one failed. TT sticks to guys with good athletic/Combine attributes where there are fit-and-finish question marks...Perry converting to hand-up, Jones too small? The key to winning is having a good QB, a half-dozen or so playmakers, and a decent supporting cast that allows them to make their plays. That gets harder when you never get a high pick. Low first round picks come with issues, and not just off-the-field or injury question marks. They're frequently not ready-made NFL players. [/QUOTE]
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