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<blockquote data-quote="Magooch" data-source="post: 1085055" data-attributes="member: 17987"><p>Just a little check-in on the state of our ST units for the season thus far...</p><p></p><p>Packers vs Browns (10-13 L)</p><p>Packers held a maximum win probability of 93.2% (leading 10-0 with less than 4 min remaining)</p><p>Blocked field goal with 27 seconds left (tied at 10-10), Browns hit a game winning 55-yard field goal as time expires.</p><p></p><p>Packers vs Cowboys (40-40 T, OT)</p><p>Packers held a maximum win probability of 87.4%. At this point we were leading 13-0...until....</p><p>We have a PAT blocked and Cowboys return for +2 points. </p><p></p><p>Packers vs Panthers (13-16 L)</p><p>Packers held a maximum win probability of 83.8%.</p><p>We missed a field goal with 10:38 left in 3Q (this was during the whole is-he-or-isn't-he-healthy debacle with McManus)</p><p>Panthers hit a game-winning 49-yard field goal as time expires</p><p></p><p>Packers vs Eagles (7-10 L)</p><p>Packers held a maximum win probability of 62.9% when it was tied 0-0 just before HT</p><p>We had an opportunity to kick a 58 yard field goal, but went for it. Turnover (4:47 left in 3Q)</p><p>We had an opportunity to kick a 57 yard field goal, but chose to punt (12:53 left in 4Q)</p><p>We attempt a 64 yard field goal to tie with 0:02 left in the game, and it is obviously a bad miss</p><p></p><p>Packers vs Broncos (26-34 L)</p><p>Probably our only loss/tie this year without any major glaring ST errors. We did have 3 penalties on ST for what it's worth</p><p></p><p>Packers vs Bears (16-22 L, OT)</p><p>Packers held a maximum win probability of 97% with 2:48 left in the game (Next Gen Stats put it at 99.5%)</p><p>Bears recover onside kick with 1:59 left, tie game, and win in OT</p><p></p><p>Now I know it's foolish to look at this as though you can just adjust the outcome of one or two plays and have everything else remain unchanged, but it's not unreasonable to say that special teams have been a major contributing factor in 5 out of 6 losses/ties this season. With better special teams play we are very possibly looking at a ~13 win Packers team who's holding the NFC's number one seed.</p><p></p><p>A somewhat tangentially related not-so-fun fact:</p><p>There have been 10 games across the entire NFL this season where a team has not had a single punt. Two of those games involve the Packers.</p><p>The rest of the NFL is 8-0. </p><p>The Packers are 0-2.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Magooch, post: 1085055, member: 17987"] Just a little check-in on the state of our ST units for the season thus far... Packers vs Browns (10-13 L) Packers held a maximum win probability of 93.2% (leading 10-0 with less than 4 min remaining) Blocked field goal with 27 seconds left (tied at 10-10), Browns hit a game winning 55-yard field goal as time expires. Packers vs Cowboys (40-40 T, OT) Packers held a maximum win probability of 87.4%. At this point we were leading 13-0...until.... We have a PAT blocked and Cowboys return for +2 points. Packers vs Panthers (13-16 L) Packers held a maximum win probability of 83.8%. We missed a field goal with 10:38 left in 3Q (this was during the whole is-he-or-isn't-he-healthy debacle with McManus) Panthers hit a game-winning 49-yard field goal as time expires Packers vs Eagles (7-10 L) Packers held a maximum win probability of 62.9% when it was tied 0-0 just before HT We had an opportunity to kick a 58 yard field goal, but went for it. Turnover (4:47 left in 3Q) We had an opportunity to kick a 57 yard field goal, but chose to punt (12:53 left in 4Q) We attempt a 64 yard field goal to tie with 0:02 left in the game, and it is obviously a bad miss Packers vs Broncos (26-34 L) Probably our only loss/tie this year without any major glaring ST errors. We did have 3 penalties on ST for what it's worth Packers vs Bears (16-22 L, OT) Packers held a maximum win probability of 97% with 2:48 left in the game (Next Gen Stats put it at 99.5%) Bears recover onside kick with 1:59 left, tie game, and win in OT Now I know it's foolish to look at this as though you can just adjust the outcome of one or two plays and have everything else remain unchanged, but it's not unreasonable to say that special teams have been a major contributing factor in 5 out of 6 losses/ties this season. With better special teams play we are very possibly looking at a ~13 win Packers team who's holding the NFC's number one seed. A somewhat tangentially related not-so-fun fact: There have been 10 games across the entire NFL this season where a team has not had a single punt. Two of those games involve the Packers. The rest of the NFL is 8-0. The Packers are 0-2. [/QUOTE]
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