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Creativity needed for Capers, Packers pass rush
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<blockquote data-quote="TJV" data-source="post: 473553" data-attributes="member: 4300"><p><span style="font-family: 'Tahoma'"><span style="color: #000000">As longtimefan highlighted, blitzing can backfire. That should come as no surprise to Packers fans who have watched Aaron Rodgers burn the blitz time after time. But when the Packers' D struggles to get pressure, many fans yell for the blitz in spite of what the stats above suggest. We all know there's a symbiotic relationship between pressure and coverage but it's easier to see a blitzer get home than to see how the coverage package forced an incompletion, sack or QB hit. </span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="color: #000000"><span style="font-family: 'Tahoma'">The author of the linked article argues that Capers has to get more creative because his blitzing hasn't worked and because he'll now be without the services of Matthews, Perry, and Woodson. (While IMO Walden has been more important to pressuring the QB than Perry, Woodson's savvy and blitzing ability has been missed.) He cites Pro Football Focus to emphasize how important Matthews is: </span><span style="font-family: 'Tahoma'"> That is simply astounding - Clay Matthews is responsible for about 32% of the sacks, hits, and hurries through nine games of this season! Since Matthews won't be in the lineup against a very potent Lions' passing offense, the author argues Capers' blitzing packages have to be more creative. </span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="font-family: 'Tahoma'"><span style="color: #000000">But is that the lesson of those stats? Even with Clay rushing the vast majority of plays so far this season and attracting the attention his play deserves, those blitzes didn't work as well as playing coverage the past two games. If blitzes don't work with Clay in the lineup, why would we believe they'd work with him in street clothes? To be sure, Capers will mix up whatever schemes he plans to use so I'm talking about emphasis here, not all one way or the other. Stafford is a better QB than either the Cards or Jags put on the field but I still wonder if doing their best to take Johnson away and mostly playing coverage would be more likely to force the undisciplined Lions into making mistakes then sending blitzers who haven't been successful with the "distraction" Matthews has provided. Beyond that, how creative can a blitzing scheme be? Isn't the talent (or lack thereof) of the blitzer more important? And if your D covers better than it blitzes, doesn't it make more sense to rely upon your strength? </span></span></p><p> </p><p><span style="font-family: 'Tahoma'"><span style="color: #000000">I was happy to hear Shields is back for Sunday's game - his presence certainly helps the coverage schemes. And the O will likely have to score a lot of points so Nelson's return is crucial and Kuhn's should help the running game, particularly short-yardage. Like many games it could come down to winning the turnover battle and my point here is sending a ton of blitzes may not be the way to accomplish that. </span></span></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="TJV, post: 473553, member: 4300"] [FONT=Tahoma][COLOR=#000000]As longtimefan highlighted, blitzing can backfire. That should come as no surprise to Packers fans who have watched Aaron Rodgers burn the blitz time after time. But when the Packers' D struggles to get pressure, many fans yell for the blitz in spite of what the stats above suggest. We all know there's a symbiotic relationship between pressure and coverage but it's easier to see a blitzer get home than to see how the coverage package forced an incompletion, sack or QB hit. [/COLOR][/FONT] [COLOR=#000000][FONT=Tahoma]The author of the linked article argues that Capers has to get more creative because his blitzing hasn't worked and because he'll now be without the services of Matthews, Perry, and Woodson. (While IMO Walden has been more important to pressuring the QB than Perry, Woodson's savvy and blitzing ability has been missed.) He cites Pro Football Focus to emphasize how important Matthews is: [/FONT][FONT=Tahoma] That is simply astounding - Clay Matthews is responsible for about 32% of the sacks, hits, and hurries through nine games of this season! Since Matthews won't be in the lineup against a very potent Lions' passing offense, the author argues Capers' blitzing packages have to be more creative. [/FONT][/COLOR] [FONT=Tahoma][COLOR=#000000]But is that the lesson of those stats? Even with Clay rushing the vast majority of plays so far this season and attracting the attention his play deserves, those blitzes didn't work as well as playing coverage the past two games. If blitzes don't work with Clay in the lineup, why would we believe they'd work with him in street clothes? To be sure, Capers will mix up whatever schemes he plans to use so I'm talking about emphasis here, not all one way or the other. Stafford is a better QB than either the Cards or Jags put on the field but I still wonder if doing their best to take Johnson away and mostly playing coverage would be more likely to force the undisciplined Lions into making mistakes then sending blitzers who haven't been successful with the "distraction" Matthews has provided. Beyond that, how creative can a blitzing scheme be? Isn't the talent (or lack thereof) of the blitzer more important? And if your D covers better than it blitzes, doesn't it make more sense to rely upon your strength? [/COLOR][/FONT] [FONT=Tahoma][COLOR=#000000]I was happy to hear Shields is back for Sunday's game - his presence certainly helps the coverage schemes. And the O will likely have to score a lot of points so Nelson's return is crucial and Kuhn's should help the running game, particularly short-yardage. Like many games it could come down to winning the turnover battle and my point here is sending a ton of blitzes may not be the way to accomplish that. [/COLOR][/FONT] [/QUOTE]
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