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<blockquote data-quote="AmishMafia" data-source="post: 717562" data-attributes="member: 2846"><p>That's a little harsh. Every single player in the draft has a risk/reward factor associated. There are never any guarantees no matter where you draft. The higher the pick, though, the more likely the player is too succeed. Statistics demonstrate this. If a pick busts, it is not an error per say by the GM. The GM weighed the risk and looked at the reward and made the decision. Now if the GM hits a lot of busts he is failing as a GM. He may not be judging the talent correctly but is more likely to be erroring on evaluating the risk.</p><p></p><p>Think again about poker. The best players never win all the hands they go after. They weigh the risk on every hand and bet accordingly. They know some hands will bust, thats the odds. But they also know if they evaluate and understand the risks correctly, in the long run they will be successful.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="AmishMafia, post: 717562, member: 2846"] That's a little harsh. Every single player in the draft has a risk/reward factor associated. There are never any guarantees no matter where you draft. The higher the pick, though, the more likely the player is too succeed. Statistics demonstrate this. If a pick busts, it is not an error per say by the GM. The GM weighed the risk and looked at the reward and made the decision. Now if the GM hits a lot of busts he is failing as a GM. He may not be judging the talent correctly but is more likely to be erroring on evaluating the risk. Think again about poker. The best players never win all the hands they go after. They weigh the risk on every hand and bet accordingly. They know some hands will bust, thats the odds. But they also know if they evaluate and understand the risks correctly, in the long run they will be successful. [/QUOTE]
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