I'm so sick of the Bills hype surrounding this game. All the talk is about how great and immoveable Buffalo's defense supposedly is. I'M NOT BUYING IT. If the Bills were all that they wouldn't be sitting at one game over .500 and they would have beaten the Vikings by more than 1 point at their own place. Why is there no talk about the Packers being the highest scoring offense? No talk about the Packers having the best turnover differential by a good margin? Seems there's a bad case of the grass being greener on the other side going on here. In the interest of not overestimating the Packers, some seem to be overestimating the Bills, me included. So I'm revising my earlier Pack 30 Bills 20 prediction:
Pack 35
Bills 17
Well, the Bills have roughly the 3rd/4th best defense in the league. Against another roughly 3rd/4th best defense (Seattle), the Packers lost. Against pretty much the best defense (Detroit), the Packers lost. Against roughly the 6th/7th best defense (Miami) the Packers needed the final seconds to pull out a victory. The Packers went up against about the 10th best defense, at home, in a clean turnover game, and won but not in huge fashion (New England).
On the road, against a top tier defense, this is likely going to be low scoring game, wherein the Packers need to force turnovers to assure a win. My gut tells me that's not going to happen, so-
Bills 20
Packers 14
where the Packers will be driving at the end of the game, in field goal range, but an earlier missed field goal will make going for the TD necessary instead of kicking for a tie.
AND the Packers will still be in as good a shape as any to win it all in Jan/Feb. It's simply this game and how I think it will turn out.