AmishMafia
Cheesehead
Nice work!Over the past 30 years, the Packers have had better success drafting in the second half of the first round than the top tier if you consider that line to be the 17th pick.
Top Tier Busts:
#2 Mandarich 1989
#4 Brent Fullwood 1987
#5 Terrell Buckley 1992
#6 Rich Campbell 1981
#10 Jamal Reynolds 2001
#12 Alphonso Carreker 1984
#14 Mossy Cade 1986
#16 Justin Harrell 2007
Lower Tier Busts:
#19 Darrell Thompson 1990
#19 Vinnie Clark 1991
#25 Antoine Edwards 1999
#25 Ahmad Carroll 2004
#27 John Michels 1996
They had nine players pan out in the top tier and twelve in the lower tier of the first round (leaving Derek Sharrod out since it's too soon to assess). So we've got 9 of 17 in the top tier and 12 of 17 in the lower tier since 1980. Coincidentally or not, the average draft position for the Packers since 1980 is the 17th pick (17.3 to be exact).
More geeky stat data based on my analysis:
83% Ted Thomson's 1st Round Success Rate (2005-current)
67% Mike Sherman's 1st Round Success Rate (2002-2004)
64% Ron Wolf's 1st Round Success Rate (1992-2001)
43% Pre-Ron Wolf combined (Starr/Gregg/Braatz) 1st Round Success Rate (1980-1991)
Was Carriker really a bust? Seems to me we got a few years out of him.
(Btw Mossy was not picked by the Packers)