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Biggest offseason mistake
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 458355"><p>Every personnel decision has a salary cap impact question at the top of the considerations list, no doubt about it.</p><p> </p><p>Someone in another thread noted a recent report that we're about $10.x mil under the cap, I can't recall the exact figure. This sounds right, give or take, though at this point it's a moving target. I had us at about $2 mil under the cap before Clifton and Collins were released and Driver was renegotiated. Offset those savings with around $800k for two of the FA vet signings taking those spots and you get to something close to $10.x mil cap space.</p><p> </p><p>Lang's deal is back loaded from a cap standpoint with the bulk of the hit coming in 2014 - 2016...the net affect this year looks to be something like an additional $1 mil over his cap hit prior to signing...not a big deal...for now. The actual team cap figure can't be known until the final cut downs, and only if somebody bothers to leak it...we just don't know which higher priced or lower priced bubble guys will make the 53 man.</p><p> </p><p>Jennings, taken in isolation, does not look to be a problem over the short term. According to the Press Gazette's roster link, his cap hit this season is about $7.8 mil. Assuming that figure is correct and he signs for around $10 - $11 mil per year (franchise tag is around $9.5 mil this year; DeSean Jackson's deal was for about $10 mil per), and assuming he'd get a healthy signing bonus which is prorated over the term of the contract, his 2013 cap hit may not be much more than 2012's. However, Jennings will be 30 years old next Sept...getting this deal done at "market value" may have more bumps in the road than many might imagine.</p><p> </p><p>The problem comes in when you start talking about $20 mil per year for Rodgers (in line with Brees' deal if the full contract is played out), $10 mil or more for Mathews, and some smaller but sizeable chunk for Raji, all falling in a fairly small window, and adding significant cap hit additions over those players' current figures. In that light, it starts to make sense why the FAs we signed are marginal guys brought in on one year deals. These guys are stop gaps and depth additions holding places until some some younger (and/or cheaper) guys move past them on the depth chart (or come off suspension). Some of those FAs might not make it past the final cut; some might stick for a couple of years, but there's no commitment past this season.</p><p> </p><p>$10 mil cap space sounds like a lot, but it will go "****" as soon as Rodgers or Matthews is re-upped. Signing a big money FA now compromises locking those guys up a year or two down the road. Unless of course one would want to fire Woodson sometime before his deal is up after 2014. At this juncture I would consider that move ill-advised.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 458355"] Every personnel decision has a salary cap impact question at the top of the considerations list, no doubt about it. Someone in another thread noted a recent report that we're about $10.x mil under the cap, I can't recall the exact figure. This sounds right, give or take, though at this point it's a moving target. I had us at about $2 mil under the cap before Clifton and Collins were released and Driver was renegotiated. Offset those savings with around $800k for two of the FA vet signings taking those spots and you get to something close to $10.x mil cap space. Lang's deal is back loaded from a cap standpoint with the bulk of the hit coming in 2014 - 2016...the net affect this year looks to be something like an additional $1 mil over his cap hit prior to signing...not a big deal...for now. The actual team cap figure can't be known until the final cut downs, and only if somebody bothers to leak it...we just don't know which higher priced or lower priced bubble guys will make the 53 man. Jennings, taken in isolation, does not look to be a problem over the short term. According to the Press Gazette's roster link, his cap hit this season is about $7.8 mil. Assuming that figure is correct and he signs for around $10 - $11 mil per year (franchise tag is around $9.5 mil this year; DeSean Jackson's deal was for about $10 mil per), and assuming he'd get a healthy signing bonus which is prorated over the term of the contract, his 2013 cap hit may not be much more than 2012's. However, Jennings will be 30 years old next Sept...getting this deal done at "market value" may have more bumps in the road than many might imagine. The problem comes in when you start talking about $20 mil per year for Rodgers (in line with Brees' deal if the full contract is played out), $10 mil or more for Mathews, and some smaller but sizeable chunk for Raji, all falling in a fairly small window, and adding significant cap hit additions over those players' current figures. In that light, it starts to make sense why the FAs we signed are marginal guys brought in on one year deals. These guys are stop gaps and depth additions holding places until some some younger (and/or cheaper) guys move past them on the depth chart (or come off suspension). Some of those FAs might not make it past the final cut; some might stick for a couple of years, but there's no commitment past this season. $10 mil cap space sounds like a lot, but it will go "****" as soon as Rodgers or Matthews is re-upped. Signing a big money FA now compromises locking those guys up a year or two down the road. Unless of course one would want to fire Woodson sometime before his deal is up after 2014. At this juncture I would consider that move ill-advised. [/QUOTE]
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