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<blockquote data-quote="OldSchool101" data-source="post: 1044581" data-attributes="member: 10086"><p>Yeah but you could say that about 1/2 of the 2nd Round selections from 2023. Really you could say that about all the #1 overall selections that have ever missed significant time inside their first 20 potential games for that matter.</p><p></p><p>So my contention in regard to the bold above is injury alone in a smaller sample size ~25 games is still not solid an indicator on career success rates. So what do we use as a better indicator? On Field production</p><p></p><p>Luke played in 12 contests in his Rookie season. Had he stayed at that production across a 17 game stretch?</p><p>592 yards 3 TD’s. IMO that shows pretty good promise just in a generic estimation of how he’s played. </p><p></p><p>Now if we want to say he’s “injured too much” etc ok I get that it’s frustrating as heck. But taking that into applying that Bust label by projecting injuries out like that across 4 seasons, it’s too sporadic. I really don’t even want to speak like that about him I wouldn’t do it to you either. It’s like bad mojo I’ll probably sprain my ankle. <img src="/styles/default/xenforo/smilies/eek.png" class="smilie" loading="lazy" alt=":eek:" title="Eek! :eek:" data-shortname=":eek:" /></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="OldSchool101, post: 1044581, member: 10086"] Yeah but you could say that about 1/2 of the 2nd Round selections from 2023. Really you could say that about all the #1 overall selections that have ever missed significant time inside their first 20 potential games for that matter. So my contention in regard to the bold above is injury alone in a smaller sample size ~25 games is still not solid an indicator on career success rates. So what do we use as a better indicator? On Field production Luke played in 12 contests in his Rookie season. Had he stayed at that production across a 17 game stretch? 592 yards 3 TD’s. IMO that shows pretty good promise just in a generic estimation of how he’s played. Now if we want to say he’s “injured too much” etc ok I get that it’s frustrating as heck. But taking that into applying that Bust label by projecting injuries out like that across 4 seasons, it’s too sporadic. I really don’t even want to speak like that about him I wouldn’t do it to you either. It’s like bad mojo I’ll probably sprain my ankle. :eek: [/QUOTE]
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