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<blockquote data-quote="DergaSmash" data-source="post: 365972" data-attributes="member: 2194"><p>As for grading drafts or picks, or saying who fits where, or what would be a good choice for a certain team at a certain time, it is a bit iffy. There are a lot of variables to account for. Yet I don't think its bad or wrong really. </p><p> </p><p>The only big difference between the average football fan and the average football media guy is a degree in journalism and/or broadcasting. Most football fans played football in high school, and even in college. Sure, some analysts played pro, coached in college/pros, or even scouted at one or both levels. The two important things to consider are the analysts resume, and their track record. Let's take Todd McShay for an example. </p><p> </p><p>He played college football until a back injury forced him to give up playing. He cut game film for the University of Richmond while as an intern for Gary Horton, who is a big name in scouting. He then worked for Horton's "The War Room," and while he was there it became a go to source of information for 16 NFL team's scouting departments. He then became the director of the the program after it was bought by ESPN, and renamed ESPN Scouts Inc. That is a pretty hefty resume. Sure his track record isn't perfect, but no one is going to correctly predict and pick every draft or every player. And like all people, he can be wrong or make mistakes. I'm pretty sure the average sports writer/analyst doesn't have same kind of resume. </p><p> </p><p>So I look at the analysis as an educated guess. The individual analyst's resume and track record do strengthen or weaken the specific analysis in my eyes, at least a little bit. So all of these analysts take a bunch of information in the form of NFL scouts' scouting reports/workout numbers/game footage/player interviews/coaching interviews/NFL teams draft position/team needs/GM or Coach's draft history/etc, and they make a prediction based on that information. You can't take it as gospel, even if the conventional wisdom says its a lock. There are always other variables that cannot be accounted for that may come into play. So I think taking a mock draft as a rock-solid, for sure prediction is silly. The analyst is just making a theoretical prediction based on his take of the information he has. At least that is how I see it.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="DergaSmash, post: 365972, member: 2194"] As for grading drafts or picks, or saying who fits where, or what would be a good choice for a certain team at a certain time, it is a bit iffy. There are a lot of variables to account for. Yet I don't think its bad or wrong really. The only big difference between the average football fan and the average football media guy is a degree in journalism and/or broadcasting. Most football fans played football in high school, and even in college. Sure, some analysts played pro, coached in college/pros, or even scouted at one or both levels. The two important things to consider are the analysts resume, and their track record. Let's take Todd McShay for an example. He played college football until a back injury forced him to give up playing. He cut game film for the University of Richmond while as an intern for Gary Horton, who is a big name in scouting. He then worked for Horton's "The War Room," and while he was there it became a go to source of information for 16 NFL team's scouting departments. He then became the director of the the program after it was bought by ESPN, and renamed ESPN Scouts Inc. That is a pretty hefty resume. Sure his track record isn't perfect, but no one is going to correctly predict and pick every draft or every player. And like all people, he can be wrong or make mistakes. I'm pretty sure the average sports writer/analyst doesn't have same kind of resume. So I look at the analysis as an educated guess. The individual analyst's resume and track record do strengthen or weaken the specific analysis in my eyes, at least a little bit. So all of these analysts take a bunch of information in the form of NFL scouts' scouting reports/workout numbers/game footage/player interviews/coaching interviews/NFL teams draft position/team needs/GM or Coach's draft history/etc, and they make a prediction based on that information. You can't take it as gospel, even if the conventional wisdom says its a lock. There are always other variables that cannot be accounted for that may come into play. So I think taking a mock draft as a rock-solid, for sure prediction is silly. The analyst is just making a theoretical prediction based on his take of the information he has. At least that is how I see it. [/QUOTE]
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