Amish 53rd Annual Draft Contest

[The_Caribou]

Edited with my final amends now...

Round One
Andre Dillard
Jonah Williams
TJ Hockenson
Ed Oliver
AJ Brown
Kaleb McGary
Devin Bush Jr.

Round Two
Juan Thornhill
Darnell Savage
Jace Sternberger
Tytus Howard

Round Three
Andy Isabella
Michael Dieter

Round Four
Max Scharping

Round Five
Chuma Edoga
Kaden Elliss

Round Six
Bryce Love
Andrew Beck

Round Seven
Ryan Bates
Penny Hart

20/20 picked

 

[Pokerbrat2000]

For those building their draft predictions, if you like interesting stories, Google WR David Sills, who is a 2019 Draft prospect. At the age of 13 he was being heralded as the next "LeBron James of the NFL" but at QB, not WR. Becoming the youngest player to be offered a scholarship at USC.

An injury to his throwing hand (knuckle), a broken ankle and Lane Kiffin getting fired from USC were some of the things that caused his whole career path to change.

http://www.espn.com/college-footbal...lls-7th-grade-phenom-failed-qb-elite-receiver

 

[Croquet]

1. dk metcalf ole miss wr
1. deionte thompson al. safety
1. josh jacobs al rb
1. Jachai polite fl edge
1. Jawaan Taylor fl ot

2. irv smith al TE
2. Greg Little Ole miss ot
2. Jaylan Ferguson LOUtech edge

3. deebo Samuel clemson wr
3. Kaden Smith stan TE
3. David Edwards Wisc. OT

4. Josh Oliver San Jose State TE
4. Charles Omenihu DT Texas
4. Bobby Evans G Oklahoma

5. Jace Sternberger Texas A and M TE
5. Hunter Renfrow Clemson WR

6. Jalen Jelks Oregon Edge

7. Nate Herbig Stanford G
7. Tony Pollard Memphis RB
7. Walter Palmore DT Missou

 

[GreenBaySlacker]

1. Dexter Lawrence NT Clemson.......all im going to say is 26 sacks....... lol
1. Jawan Taylor OT....big. And athletic. Worst case he is Bulagas replacement. Best case we have an option when Bahk is asking for a huge payday...
1. Devin white ilb. Looks like the total package. If we are going to stick to the 3-4? I'd be content with a second stud ilb.
3. khalen Saunders. Nt
3. Chris Slayton. Nt let's just draft the whole Clemson D line...
4.mike Webber. Rb
4. Miles Sanders. Rb
4. Devin singletary. Rb....
5. Pj sweat. Nt

Rashan Gary DE
James dean cb
Isaiah Johnson cb
Renell when DE
Albert Huggins DE
Ed Oliver DE

 

[PackFan2]

1.

- Andre Dillard
- Ed Oliver
- Jeffery Simmons
- Devin Bush Jr
​

2.

- Taylor Rapp
- Greg Little​

3.

- Dru Samia
- Amani Hooker
- Christian Miller​

4

- Rodney Anderson
- Josh Oliver
- Sean Bunting
- Tytus Howard​

5

- Penny Hart
- Olisaemeka Udoh
- Daylon Mack​

6

- Trysten Hill
- Nick Brossette
- Blace Brown​

7

- Kyle Chung​

 

[PackFan2]

updated

 

[GleefulGary]

1:
TJ Hockenson
Ed Oliver
Devin Bush
Jonah Williams
AJ Brown

2:
Juan Thornhill
Chase Winovich
Max Scharping
Dalton Risner

3:
Andy Isabella
Sean Bunting
Michael Dieter
Darnell Savage
Darrell Henderson

4:
Nate Davis
Kahale Warring


5:
Sheldrick Redwine

6:
Kaden Eliss
Cole Tracy

7:
Jeff Smith

 

[Favre>Rodgers259]

1. E.Oliver
1. T. Hockenson
1. D. Metcalf
1. N. Adderley
1. J. Taylor
1. G. Little
1. A. Brown

2. C. Lindstrom
2. N. Adderley
2. D. Risner
2. J. Abram

3. J. Hill
3. J. Sternberger
3. D. Savage


4. K. Warring
4. M. Scharping
4. T. Hill

5. J. Hurd
5. M. Boykin

6. J. Mooreland

7. G. Jennings Jr.

 

[Deleted member 6794]

1 - DL Ed Oliver, Houston
1 - LB Devin White, LSU
1 - OT Andre Dillard, Washington State
1 - WR A.J. Brown, Ole Miss

2 - DL Jeffrey Simmons, Mississippi State
2 - OL Greg Little, Ole Miss
2 - S Nasir Adderley, Delaware
2 - ED Chase Winovich, Michigan

3 - CB Sean Bunting, Central Michigan
3 - WR J.J. Arcega-Whiteside, Stanford

4 - DL Greg Gaines, Washington
4 - WR Andy Isabella, Massachusetts
4 - TE Josh Oliver, San Jose State

5 - LB Tre'Von Coney, Notre Dame
5 - TE Caleb Wilson, UCLA

6 - LB Kaden Ellis, Idaho
6 - K Cole Tracy, LSU
6 - OL Hjalte Froholdt, Arkansas

7 - LB T.J. Edwards, Wisconsin
7 - CB Montre Hartage, Northwestern

 

[HardRightEdge]

Round 1:

Andre Dillard, OT/OG, Washington State
Christian Wilkins, DE/DT, Clemson
Johnathan Abram, SS, Mississippi State
Devin Bush, ILB, Michigan
Montez Sweat, Edge, Mississippi State

Round 2:

Kaleb McGary, OT, Washington
Dalton Risner, OT/OG, Kansas State
Chris Lindstrom, OG/OT/C, Boston College
Juan Thornhill, SS, Virgina
A.J. Brown, WR, Mississippi ("subterfuge" pick )

Round 3:

Jerry Tillery, DE/DT, Notre Dame
Trystan Hill, DE/DT, Central Florida
Jace Sternberger, TE, Texas A&M
Damian Harrison, RB, Alabama
Sean Bunting, CB, Toledo

Round 4:

Justice Hill, RB, Oklahoma State

Round 5:

Tyree Jackson, QB, SUNY Buffalo

Round 6:

Andrew Van Ginkel, OLB, Wisconsin
Ben Burr-Kirven, ILB, Washington

Round 7:

Tim Harris, CB, Virginia

 

[OldSchool101]

Good Luck everyone! If we get any combination of what I’m seeing here overall.. we will look like a different team by the time of our first playoff game
GPG!

 

[Pokerbrat2000]

Good Luck everyone! If we get any combination of what I’m seeing here overall.. we will look like a different team by the time of our first playoff game
GPG!

I'm always fighting with myself as to what I hope the Packers will do and what I think they will actually do. But still a fun exercise.

 

[jetfixer]

1. J. Williams OT
1. D. Bush LB
1. Dillard OT
1. Sweat EDGE
1. Simmons DL
1. Abram S

2. Savage S
2. N. Harry WR
2. G. Little OT
2. Thornhill S

3. G. Pratt ILB
3. D. Henderson RB
3. J. Sternberger TE
3. J. Tillery

4. L. Johnson Jr. CB
4. C. McGovern G/C

5. J. Davis OLB
5. H. Renfrow WR

6. C. Kaufusi DE

7. M. Gay K

 

[OldSchool101]

I'm always fighting with myself as to what I hope the Packers will do and what I think they will actually do. But still a fun exercise.

Yeah. Who I want and who I think will be left standing are totally different things. I know exactly what you mean.

 

[HardRightEdge]

I'm always fighting with myself as to what I hope the Packers will do and what I think they will actually do. But still a fun exercise.

This contest is about what they will do, not what you think they should do. In the end you'd like to think there will be some overlap.

 

[Pokerbrat2000]

Yeah. Who I want and who I think will be left standing are totally different things. I know exactly what you mean.

Yup that and if the following 3 guys are there for the Packers at #12, who do they select? Or do they pass on all 3, select someone else or do they trade back?

Oliver, Hochenson and White

The more Mocks I look at, the more unsure I get, as well as leaning towards the thought that the #12 pick (if they don't trade out) is going to be the Packers selecting the offensive lineman that they just may have at the top of their board as being the best at the position.

 

[Pokerbrat2000]

This contest is about what they will do, not what you think they should do. In the end you'd like to think there will be some overlap.

Agreed and the more overlap you have, you can probably say that you are more in tune with the way Gute thinks about players selected (or not selected), how they fit into the Packer's plans, as well as a good handle on the other 31 teams involved in the process

Makes filling out the NCAA Basketball brackets feel like a walk in the park.

 

[HardRightEdge]

Makes filling out the NCAA Basketball brackets feel like a walk in the park.

I have little clue who Gutekunst might pick on day 3 and less of a clue as to who I should want.

 

[Poppa San]

I also feel the need to add in players if Gute trades up or back. Guys expected at the other end of the round too. Or in this season's case, guys expected to go at the turn.

 

[OldSchool101]

knowing the first 1-2 pieces makes the rest of the puzzle fit together. If you get the first pick or two correct, it’s much more likely you can mock another player or two. But vice versa also, once the dominos start falling they either go your way..or nearly stop altogether.

 

[Deleted member 6794]

knowing the first 1-2 pieces makes the rest of the puzzle fit together. If you get the first pick or two correct, it’s much more likely you can mock another player or two. But vice versa also, once the dominos start falling they either go your way..or nearly stop altogether.

Actually I believe it's close to impossible to get any other player the Packers draft correct aside of the 12th pick.

 

[AmishMafia]

Actually I believe it's close to impossible to get any other player the Packers draft correct aside of the 12th pick.

It's difficult, but not nearly impossible. If you consider there are probably 400 players who stand a reasonable chance of being drafted. Maybe we can cross off 1/2 of those as not likely due to character issues, system fit, metric misses, need, and probably gone. If we knew Gute/Lafluers taste in players we could probably narrow it down some more.That's 200 and we have 9 picks. By my math, that's a 9.5% chance at getting 1 correct.

 

[Deleted member 6794]

It's difficult, but not nearly impossible. If you consider there are probably 400 players who stand a reasonable chance of being drafted. Maybe we can cross off 1/2 of those as not likely due to character issues, system fit, metric misses, need, and probably gone. If we knew Gute/Lafluers taste in players we could probably narrow it down some more.That's 200 and we have 9 picks. By my math, that's a 9.5% chance at getting 1 correct.

The Packers have 10 picks even increasing those chances Actually if you consider 200 possible prospects you have a 40.9% of getting at least one correct in the Amish Mafia draft contest.

 

[Pokerbrat2000]

You must be logged in to see this image or video!

 

[AmishMafia]

The Packers have 10 picks even increasing those chances Actually if you consider 200 possible prospects you have a 40.9% of getting at least one correct in the Amish Mafia draft contest.

0.5% chance per pick, 10x? I thought you were wrong, but I ran a random number experiment and hit 30% 1 right and 12% 2 right on 100 trials.

You must be correct.