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<blockquote data-quote="Magooch" data-source="post: 1077500" data-attributes="member: 17987"><p>One other thing we may note: </p><p></p><p>Carolina's defense finished with -5.28 total defensive EPA (pass defense+rush defense+defensive penalties)</p><p>Green Bay's defense finished with -6.92 total defensive EPA by the same measure</p><p></p><p>Parse it out a bit further and you find that Carolina's pass defense was AWFUL (-9.9) and rush defense pretty solid (+3.33) while our pass defense came in at +0.77 and a poor showing from the rush defense at -8.75</p><p>(The inverse of these can also be read as the opposite team's offense, i.e. GB +9.9 pass EPA, -3.33 rush EPA, and so on)</p><p></p><p>Special teams was again a net negative for us at -1.36 (Panthers again the inverse, +1.36), once again largely influenced by terrible punt returns and mediocre kick coverage. And at the end of the day Carolina finished on +3 EPA compared to us, and won the game by....3. So there you have it lol </p><p></p><p>And ultimately, they finished with 50-50 time of possession, same number of offensive drives (7 each) and averaged 5 yards per play on offense. IMO if you approached Dave Canales ahead of the game and said "You'll split TOP, split drives, average 5 ypp, and be in position to attempt a game winning field goal at the end," he would HAPPILY take that outcome, make or miss lol</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Magooch, post: 1077500, member: 17987"] One other thing we may note: Carolina's defense finished with -5.28 total defensive EPA (pass defense+rush defense+defensive penalties) Green Bay's defense finished with -6.92 total defensive EPA by the same measure Parse it out a bit further and you find that Carolina's pass defense was AWFUL (-9.9) and rush defense pretty solid (+3.33) while our pass defense came in at +0.77 and a poor showing from the rush defense at -8.75 (The inverse of these can also be read as the opposite team's offense, i.e. GB +9.9 pass EPA, -3.33 rush EPA, and so on) Special teams was again a net negative for us at -1.36 (Panthers again the inverse, +1.36), once again largely influenced by terrible punt returns and mediocre kick coverage. And at the end of the day Carolina finished on +3 EPA compared to us, and won the game by....3. So there you have it lol And ultimately, they finished with 50-50 time of possession, same number of offensive drives (7 each) and averaged 5 yards per play on offense. IMO if you approached Dave Canales ahead of the game and said "You'll split TOP, split drives, average 5 ypp, and be in position to attempt a game winning field goal at the end," he would HAPPILY take that outcome, make or miss lol [/QUOTE]
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