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AJ Dillon the starter?
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<blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 901449" data-attributes="member: 12283"><p>The conversation is drifting between a couple different arenas, so I'm just going to refocus it real quick. </p><p></p><p>I don't think NFL offenses need elite running backs to be elite overall. That's not my argument. My argument is that it's totally acceptable to spend day 2 picks on running back, especially when the need exists and the team has valued the player with a strong grade. And just one more thought on that point-- there aren't many teams in the top 10 scoring offenses that feature elite tight ends either. Elite players are rare by definition.</p><p></p><p>I don't like that list at all as an argument regarding the Dillon pick. For one, half of that list are day 2 selections. Secondly, two of those guys play on the same team, and one is the backup. And lastly, it doesn't make any sense to say drafting a running back at pick 73 (Drake, Montgomery) or 67 (Kamara) is smart, but drafting one at 62 (Dillon) is poor decision making. </p><p></p><p>And I would still call that cherry picking in that you're looking at the league as a whole, coming up with 8 names, and only 3 of them actually fit your point. Look, I can do it too: Stefon Diggs, Keenan Allen, Tyreek Hill, Terry McLaurin, Adam Thielen, Tyler Lockett, Robby Anderson, Cooper Kupp... see how easy that is? But I would never say that because those guys exist, teams shouldn't draft receivers before the 3rd round.</p><p></p><p>And lastly, the second contract thing cuts both ways. On the one hand, you get fewer years out of a player that you spent a day 2 pick on (your point). On the other hand, finding really good running backs on the open market who are worth paying almost never happens. The really special ones get resigned by their own teams, and the guys who do make it are extremely risky investments because of that running back shelf life. The lion's share of good RB play in the NFL are day 2 picks either on rookie deals or the very early portion of their 2nd contracts (almost always with their original team).</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dantés, post: 901449, member: 12283"] The conversation is drifting between a couple different arenas, so I'm just going to refocus it real quick. I don't think NFL offenses need elite running backs to be elite overall. That's not my argument. My argument is that it's totally acceptable to spend day 2 picks on running back, especially when the need exists and the team has valued the player with a strong grade. And just one more thought on that point-- there aren't many teams in the top 10 scoring offenses that feature elite tight ends either. Elite players are rare by definition. I don't like that list at all as an argument regarding the Dillon pick. For one, half of that list are day 2 selections. Secondly, two of those guys play on the same team, and one is the backup. And lastly, it doesn't make any sense to say drafting a running back at pick 73 (Drake, Montgomery) or 67 (Kamara) is smart, but drafting one at 62 (Dillon) is poor decision making. And I would still call that cherry picking in that you're looking at the league as a whole, coming up with 8 names, and only 3 of them actually fit your point. Look, I can do it too: Stefon Diggs, Keenan Allen, Tyreek Hill, Terry McLaurin, Adam Thielen, Tyler Lockett, Robby Anderson, Cooper Kupp... see how easy that is? But I would never say that because those guys exist, teams shouldn't draft receivers before the 3rd round. And lastly, the second contract thing cuts both ways. On the one hand, you get fewer years out of a player that you spent a day 2 pick on (your point). On the other hand, finding really good running backs on the open market who are worth paying almost never happens. The really special ones get resigned by their own teams, and the guys who do make it are extremely risky investments because of that running back shelf life. The lion's share of good RB play in the NFL are day 2 picks either on rookie deals or the very early portion of their 2nd contracts (almost always with their original team). [/QUOTE]
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