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<blockquote data-quote="Dantés" data-source="post: 901442" data-attributes="member: 12283"><p>I didn't really need it explained to me why you wouldn't draft a punter over a corner. Positional value matters; no one is saying otherwise. So does draft grade. And simply because guards, running backs, tight ends, and linebackers are lower on the priority list does not mean you can't ever spend a high pick on the right one. </p><p></p><p>While you can find useful players for the backfield in free agency, the shelf life of running backs makes that route more difficult. A running backs best years will come on their rookie deal the majority of the time. Using day 2 picks on them and then letting them walk after 4-5 years makes way more sense than trying to fill the position with veterans. And Mike Davis is not a guy you want to give 200 touches to. He's not very good. </p><p></p><p>People who make this case always cherry pick examples of late round of undrafted running backs who hit big, completely ignoring that the hit rate in those cases is atrocious. If you <em>need </em>a running back and say "I can find one in the 5th or undrafted because of Aaron Jones or Austin Ekeler" you're going to fail to address your position almost every time. The logic of that argument is identical to saying, "don't take receivers high in the draft, just go find an Adam Thielen." You also couldn't get Austin Ekeler... because he signed an extension with his original team. </p><p></p><p>If you look at the top 10 scoring offenses in the NFL in 2020, literally every last one of them has spent a day 2 pick (or more) on a running back in the last five years. So you say that some teams have not yet figured out the value of the running back position, but I say that the football analytics twitterati have not yet figured out that they aren't the actual professionals in this case. </p><p></p><p>Running backs matter and so does positional value. So probably look elsewhere when you're picking really high, but otherwise, have at it.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Dantés, post: 901442, member: 12283"] I didn't really need it explained to me why you wouldn't draft a punter over a corner. Positional value matters; no one is saying otherwise. So does draft grade. And simply because guards, running backs, tight ends, and linebackers are lower on the priority list does not mean you can't ever spend a high pick on the right one. While you can find useful players for the backfield in free agency, the shelf life of running backs makes that route more difficult. A running backs best years will come on their rookie deal the majority of the time. Using day 2 picks on them and then letting them walk after 4-5 years makes way more sense than trying to fill the position with veterans. And Mike Davis is not a guy you want to give 200 touches to. He's not very good. People who make this case always cherry pick examples of late round of undrafted running backs who hit big, completely ignoring that the hit rate in those cases is atrocious. If you [I]need [/I]a running back and say "I can find one in the 5th or undrafted because of Aaron Jones or Austin Ekeler" you're going to fail to address your position almost every time. The logic of that argument is identical to saying, "don't take receivers high in the draft, just go find an Adam Thielen." You also couldn't get Austin Ekeler... because he signed an extension with his original team. If you look at the top 10 scoring offenses in the NFL in 2020, literally every last one of them has spent a day 2 pick (or more) on a running back in the last five years. So you say that some teams have not yet figured out the value of the running back position, but I say that the football analytics twitterati have not yet figured out that they aren't the actual professionals in this case. Running backs matter and so does positional value. So probably look elsewhere when you're picking really high, but otherwise, have at it. [/QUOTE]
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