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Message: <blockquote data-quote="OldSchool101" data-source="post: 1048543" data-attributes="member: 10086">Yeah I missed that play but that’s a good shot. Now I know the play worked out. However imo Kraft catches that and gets within 5-10 yards of Watson before being taken down. Sounds trivial by its lonesome.  The reason targeting Kraft is not trivial is that the probability of an INT to Kraft is about 0% there. We’ve been talking about this all year now. The probability of an INT to Watson is about ~15-20% in my estimation. It’s realistic, lower, but unnecessary. Just take the medium gainer and move the chains and give Kraft an opportunity to use his rumbling style to make up the difference. By staying on his feet and using his stiff arm there’s a small probability he achieved Watson yardage or scores.Also shorter throw into the open = higher % reception. Love throwing to Kraft has about an 80% success rate but that throw to Watson is at best a 50/50 ball.I noticed that also.I do really like the Thursday report I think it’s more telling. Too many guys rest on Wed it’s harder to depict the outcome.Imo if they DNP on both Wed/Thurs it spells will not playBut yeah point taken on that list. Its about the best we could hope for</blockquote>

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