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2025 Draft Prospects for Packers
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<blockquote data-quote="OldSchool101" data-source="post: 1054428" data-attributes="member: 10086"><p>Yeah I think everyone has a slight variation from each other on what a “bust” is.</p><p>For myself it’s more value driven.</p><p>If you look at a draftek draft value chart. That #1 or #2, #3 selection is worth several later Day 1’s. Those guys better be animals and have a lengthy career. By the time we get to #21 overall group. Call it Savage or Haha Clinton Dix? I don’t weight those guys nearly as heavily. Both of those Safeties were over drafted a little, but both weren’t busts either. I’d put their actual production fitting into what I’d expect from that Rd2-3 (Top 50-75) selections.</p><p></p><p> I think people in general are too harsh as soon as the “1st Round” terminology comes into play. Yet a #32 overall pick holds 590 points and a #1 overall holds 3,000 points. Big Difference of 2,410 variance.</p><p></p><p>A top 50 selection is 500 draft points.</p><p>A top 100 selection is 100 points</p><p>A much more reasonable disparity of value. </p><p>That’s why I always point out that we’ve typically drafted in the later 80’s 90’s in Round 3. A Packers #92 overall (132 points) is 1/2 as likely to succeed as a #65 overall pick (265 points) by Chicago etc. both are Round 3 but it’s 1/2 the player success rates by historical evidence.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="OldSchool101, post: 1054428, member: 10086"] Yeah I think everyone has a slight variation from each other on what a “bust” is. For myself it’s more value driven. If you look at a draftek draft value chart. That #1 or #2, #3 selection is worth several later Day 1’s. Those guys better be animals and have a lengthy career. By the time we get to #21 overall group. Call it Savage or Haha Clinton Dix? I don’t weight those guys nearly as heavily. Both of those Safeties were over drafted a little, but both weren’t busts either. I’d put their actual production fitting into what I’d expect from that Rd2-3 (Top 50-75) selections. I think people in general are too harsh as soon as the “1st Round” terminology comes into play. Yet a #32 overall pick holds 590 points and a #1 overall holds 3,000 points. Big Difference of 2,410 variance. A top 50 selection is 500 draft points. A top 100 selection is 100 points A much more reasonable disparity of value. That’s why I always point out that we’ve typically drafted in the later 80’s 90’s in Round 3. A Packers #92 overall (132 points) is 1/2 as likely to succeed as a #65 overall pick (265 points) by Chicago etc. both are Round 3 but it’s 1/2 the player success rates by historical evidence. [/QUOTE]
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