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2023 Tyni's Prospect Thread
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<blockquote data-quote="tynimiller" data-source="post: 982856" data-attributes="member: 6578"><p>Eh those are ignorantly low on Nijman and conseravtive on Jenkins...look at their calculations and whom the players were they compared them to and it makes sense:</p><p></p><p>Yosh's</p><p>-The ages of the guys they used is significantly older than Yosh: 30yrs, 28yrs, 31 (will be 32 by next season), and 30 (will be nearly 31 by next)</p><p>-Only Fant and Hurst really had starting experience recently (2021/2020) before the contracts arguably more impressive than Yosh. Example of starts in 2020 and 2021 below of the four and than Yosh:</p><p>Hurst - 20, Eluemunor 11, Wells 6, Fant 29 and Yosh 8</p><p></p><p>Fant is the best comp because heading into a 2023 contract Yosh will have started over 20+ games for GB in 2021, 2022...and have done so WELL similar to Fant. Fant was older than Yosh is however by 3+ years at time of contract. I strongly guess Yosh will get either a one year $4M/$5M deal with plenty of years ahead for a 3 or 4 term deal if he continued to produce excellent starts....but I also sense a team seeing a starting RT worst case with him is going to offer a deal similar to Fant's possibly which was $27M/3yr essentially. Which $9M a year is around the 25th-30th for yearly average of tackle contracts presently....so I'd say Yosh and his agent will want between $7M-$10M a year on a multi or maybe $5M on single year. </p><p></p><p>Jenkins - spotrac was ignorant to include Eluemunor in his calculations as well IMO. </p><p>-The guys they compared Jenkins to only one of them has had as many TOTAL career starts as Jenkins had his first two seasons in GB...Jenkins will have 53 or so starts once season ends over four years, some of that at Tackle position (5RT, 8LT, 5C and rest at guard). Karras the only comp with more starts took till his fourth season to get more than two though, is older and a CENTER and still pulled $18M for three years. That is beneath the bottom shelf of what Jenkins will get or should. There one comp Joseph Noteboom barely had any starts leading into his contract and 2022. BUT he was their starting LT (Rams) this year until his IR placement due to injury. That cat with barely any starting time pulled $13M/yr on a $40M/3yr deal.</p><p>NOW GB no doubt wants to pay him like a guard, which $7M a year would be roughly just Top 20 salary presently...he is a top 5 or top 10 guard which would take $9M/yr MINIMUM and really $10-$12M/yr.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="tynimiller, post: 982856, member: 6578"] Eh those are ignorantly low on Nijman and conseravtive on Jenkins...look at their calculations and whom the players were they compared them to and it makes sense: Yosh's -The ages of the guys they used is significantly older than Yosh: 30yrs, 28yrs, 31 (will be 32 by next season), and 30 (will be nearly 31 by next) -Only Fant and Hurst really had starting experience recently (2021/2020) before the contracts arguably more impressive than Yosh. Example of starts in 2020 and 2021 below of the four and than Yosh: Hurst - 20, Eluemunor 11, Wells 6, Fant 29 and Yosh 8 Fant is the best comp because heading into a 2023 contract Yosh will have started over 20+ games for GB in 2021, 2022...and have done so WELL similar to Fant. Fant was older than Yosh is however by 3+ years at time of contract. I strongly guess Yosh will get either a one year $4M/$5M deal with plenty of years ahead for a 3 or 4 term deal if he continued to produce excellent starts....but I also sense a team seeing a starting RT worst case with him is going to offer a deal similar to Fant's possibly which was $27M/3yr essentially. Which $9M a year is around the 25th-30th for yearly average of tackle contracts presently....so I'd say Yosh and his agent will want between $7M-$10M a year on a multi or maybe $5M on single year. Jenkins - spotrac was ignorant to include Eluemunor in his calculations as well IMO. -The guys they compared Jenkins to only one of them has had as many TOTAL career starts as Jenkins had his first two seasons in GB...Jenkins will have 53 or so starts once season ends over four years, some of that at Tackle position (5RT, 8LT, 5C and rest at guard). Karras the only comp with more starts took till his fourth season to get more than two though, is older and a CENTER and still pulled $18M for three years. That is beneath the bottom shelf of what Jenkins will get or should. There one comp Joseph Noteboom barely had any starts leading into his contract and 2022. BUT he was their starting LT (Rams) this year until his IR placement due to injury. That cat with barely any starting time pulled $13M/yr on a $40M/3yr deal. NOW GB no doubt wants to pay him like a guard, which $7M a year would be roughly just Top 20 salary presently...he is a top 5 or top 10 guard which would take $9M/yr MINIMUM and really $10-$12M/yr. [/QUOTE]
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