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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 833385"><p>The draft is in the rear view mirror, so the question before the court is how many <strong>undrafted</strong> rookie kickers will make a roster.</p><p></p><p>Here are some facts to consider:</p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">There were 23 qualifying kickers with a better FG % than Crosby last season.</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">10 of those guys were drafted: Gould, Carlson, Sanders, Hopkins, Butker, Succop, Gostkowski, Elliott, Bullock and Janikowski, leaving 13 undrafted kickers in that group</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">The years of experience of those 13 undrafted kickers are as follows:</li> </ul> <p style="margin-left: 20px"><p style="margin-left: 20px">1 year: Bagdley, Joseph</p> <p style="margin-left: 20px">2 years: Rosas, Fairbairne</p> <p style="margin-left: 20px">3 years: Lutz</p> <p style="margin-left: 20px">4 years: Myers, Lambo</p> <p style="margin-left: 20px">7 years: Tucker, Zuerlein</p> <p style="margin-left: 20px">10 years: Gano</p> <p style="margin-left: 20px">12 years: Prater</p> <p style="margin-left: 20px">17 years: Bryant</p> <p style="margin-left: 20px">23 years: Vinatieri</p> </p><p></p><p>So, there's a good chance one or two undrafted kickers better than Crosby will earn a job.</p><p></p><p>That there were no qualifying undrafted kickers last season with 5 or 6 years of experience (and only one drafted in Hopkins) could be the result of poor draft classes, injuries, lack of staying power, retirements or simply worse records than Crosby last season, I could not say.</p><p></p><p>If we say one or two undrafted kickers will earn jobs, that is still problematic given how many vie for jobs coming from all kinds of places, such as Marist, North Texas, Southern Oregon or Missouri Western, and the number of teams who are in the hunt for upgrades or cap savings.</p><p></p><p>Further, you run the risk of that the guy you pick, even if you draft him as the Vikings did with Carlson, sh*ts the bed in week 2 compelling you to cut him (only to see him show up elsewhere hitting 17 of 18).</p><p></p><p>Futher yet, if I'm an undrafted kicker of some pedigree with multiple camp offers, there are two kinds of teams I'd prefer to avoid: (1) teams with a decent vet with little cap savings on his contract (not the case here) where your job is camp body or (2) an outdoor cold weather team (that's Green Bay).</p><p></p><p>Looking for a Crosby replacement is a worthy endeavor, but it is far from easy, and even if you find your guy you could get whipsawed as in the Carlson example. Be careful what you wish for.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 833385"] The draft is in the rear view mirror, so the question before the court is how many [B]undrafted[/B] rookie kickers will make a roster. Here are some facts to consider: [LIST] [*]There were 23 qualifying kickers with a better FG % than Crosby last season. [*]10 of those guys were drafted: Gould, Carlson, Sanders, Hopkins, Butker, Succop, Gostkowski, Elliott, Bullock and Janikowski, leaving 13 undrafted kickers in that group [*]The years of experience of those 13 undrafted kickers are as follows: [/LIST] [INDENT][INDENT]1 year: Bagdley, Joseph 2 years: Rosas, Fairbairne 3 years: Lutz 4 years: Myers, Lambo 7 years: Tucker, Zuerlein 10 years: Gano 12 years: Prater 17 years: Bryant 23 years: Vinatieri[/INDENT][/INDENT] So, there's a good chance one or two undrafted kickers better than Crosby will earn a job. That there were no qualifying undrafted kickers last season with 5 or 6 years of experience (and only one drafted in Hopkins) could be the result of poor draft classes, injuries, lack of staying power, retirements or simply worse records than Crosby last season, I could not say. If we say one or two undrafted kickers will earn jobs, that is still problematic given how many vie for jobs coming from all kinds of places, such as Marist, North Texas, Southern Oregon or Missouri Western, and the number of teams who are in the hunt for upgrades or cap savings. Further, you run the risk of that the guy you pick, even if you draft him as the Vikings did with Carlson, sh*ts the bed in week 2 compelling you to cut him (only to see him show up elsewhere hitting 17 of 18). Futher yet, if I'm an undrafted kicker of some pedigree with multiple camp offers, there are two kinds of teams I'd prefer to avoid: (1) teams with a decent vet with little cap savings on his contract (not the case here) where your job is camp body or (2) an outdoor cold weather team (that's Green Bay). Looking for a Crosby replacement is a worthy endeavor, but it is far from easy, and even if you find your guy you could get whipsawed as in the Carlson example. Be careful what you wish for. [/QUOTE]
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