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2018 Salary Cap Analysis
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<blockquote data-quote="HardRightEdge" data-source="post: 758789"><p>PFF gave Matthews an 83.4 grade for , #26 among edge defenders, above average. That seems about right.</p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.profootballfocus.com/nfl/players/clay-matthews/4949" target="_blank">https://www.profootballfocus.com/nfl/players/clay-matthews/4949</a></p><p></p><p>Now, is that worth $11.4 million "per year"? Not if he was sitting on 4 years remaining at $45 million. You cannot compare Matthews' number to that 4 year contract for any other player where the imbedded long term risk is much higher.</p><p></p><p>He's definitely worth keeping. His outright release would be a low probability event, especially given the "who else ya got" factor.</p><p></p><p>So, where might you end up in a renegotiation/extension? 2 years/ $16 million or 3 years / $24 million? That can gain some meaningful cap space for 2018 via signing bonus, but then you assume considerable dead cap risk in 2019 or 2019/2020 risk when he'll be age 33 and 34.</p><p></p><p>For a little perspective, the Packers signed Peppers to 3 years / $26 million / $7.5 signing bonus as the only guarantee in 2014. Prices have gone up since then.</p><p></p><p>There isn't much to be gained here when taking a multi-year perspective.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="HardRightEdge, post: 758789"] PFF gave Matthews an 83.4 grade for , #26 among edge defenders, above average. That seems about right. [URL]https://www.profootballfocus.com/nfl/players/clay-matthews/4949[/URL] Now, is that worth $11.4 million "per year"? Not if he was sitting on 4 years remaining at $45 million. You cannot compare Matthews' number to that 4 year contract for any other player where the imbedded long term risk is much higher. He's definitely worth keeping. His outright release would be a low probability event, especially given the "who else ya got" factor. So, where might you end up in a renegotiation/extension? 2 years/ $16 million or 3 years / $24 million? That can gain some meaningful cap space for 2018 via signing bonus, but then you assume considerable dead cap risk in 2019 or 2019/2020 risk when he'll be age 33 and 34. For a little perspective, the Packers signed Peppers to 3 years / $26 million / $7.5 signing bonus as the only guarantee in 2014. Prices have gone up since then. There isn't much to be gained here when taking a multi-year perspective. [/QUOTE]
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