Packers
Eagles
Saints
Cardinals
Giants
Bucs/Atlanta
There are so many variables that are up in the air right now, I feel like I am grasping at straws. The FA madness can really shake my picks up before the season starts.
I think GB has the least amount of FA worries. There are a few key guys that could be gone, but not several at each position. I also think the staff has shown the ability to develop young players better than most other NFL teams, so GB gets the top spot.
I think the Eagles are pretty solid. Their Defense is good. I understand the whole "Vick is figured out now" thing, but last year he didn't start the season as the starter. He is the the man in Philly now, and even if he is figured out, game planning for Vick always puts the defense at some sort of disadvantage. I think the Jackson holdout could affect them pretty seriously, especially depending on how the Kolb trade goes.
I'm going with the Saints because I think that with their backfield getting healthy and no real huge losses predicted in FA, I like their chances. Atlanta could be a player here, but that depends on how they fare in free agency. If they lose 3 of their starting OLinemen, they will have a rough start to the season, especially if they can't bring in anyone to fill the gaps. If Atlanta fares better then I think Atlanta could be in.
Cardinals in the West because of the Kolb trade. Other FA moves could put the Rams here but I think a decent QB in Arizona really boosts that team. Seattle is going to have some QB issues to figure out and SF can't seem to build an Offense.
I think the Giants and the Bucs take the wild cards. I think the Giants are in if they can keep FA from beating them up, because their team is pretty solid. I don't think Dallas can get in, especially with their cap woes and player cuts. I think the Bucs get in because they really gelled last year. They have some great young talent and good coaching. Most if not all of those young guys will be better this year.
The two teams I could definitely see taking a spot are Detroit and St. Louis. They are both on the cusp I think. I don't think the Vikes or Bears really have a shot. Although I could see my list change big time by the time the season starts, lol.